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Arcelor Mittal februari 2020

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voda
1
ArcelorMittal SA (MT) CEO Lakshmi Mittal on Q4 2019 Results - Earnings Call Transcript

Feb. 6, 2020 3:24 PM ET | About: ArcelorMittal (MT), AMSYF
Q4: 02-06-20 Earnings Summary
Press Release Slides
EPS of $-0.2213 beats by $0.24 Revenue of $15.51B (-15.35% Y/Y) misses by $-361.7M
Subscribers Only
Earning Call Audio
ArcelorMittal SA (NYSE:MT) Q4 2019 Earnings Conference Call February 6, 2020 9:30 AM ET

Company Participants

Daniel Fairclough - Head, IR & VP, Corporate Finance

Lakshmi Mittal - Chairman & CEO

Genuíno Christino - Head, Group Finance & VP

Aditya Mittal - President & Group CFO

Conference Call Participants

Jason Fairclough - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Alain Gabriel - Morgan Stanley

Luke Nelson - JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Carsten Riek - Crédit Suisse

Philip Gibbs - KeyBanc Capital Markets

Seth Rosenfeld - Exane BNP Paribas

Alan Spence - Jefferies

Rochus Brauneiser - Kepler Cheuvreux

Myles Allsop - UBS Investment Bank

Christian Andre - Societe Generale

Bastian Synagowitz - Deutsche Bank

Francisco José Rodríguez Sánchez - Banco de Sabadell.

Daniel Fairclough

Thank you. Hi, good afternoon and good morning, everybody. This is Daniel Fairclough from the ArcelorMittal Investor Relations team. This morning, we published our results for the fourth quarter and full year 2019 alongside the Q&A document and a detailed presentation with speaker notes. So the intention of today's call is not to go through that presentation again, but move directly to your questions that you may have. So the whole call today should last about 45 minutes. [Operator Instructions].

With that brief opening, I will hand over to our Chairman and CEO, Mr. Mittal.

Lakshmi Mittal

Thank you, Daniel. Good day and welcome, everyone. I'm joined on today's call by Adit Mittal, President and CFO; Simon Wandke Head of Mining; Genuino, Head of Finance; and Daniel, of course you know.

Before we answer your questions, I would like to begin with a few remarks. As always, I will start by commenting on our health and safety performance. Our lost time injury frequency rate in 2019 was 1.21x, a deterioration compared with 2018, predominantly due to the inclusion of ArcelorMittal Italia. Excluding ArcelorMittal Italia, the rate was 0.75x. Our aim is continuous progress, and we will be further strengthening our safety training and initiatives to further improve our performance.

Turning to the financials. 2019 was a challenging year. We faced the headwinds of softening global economic growth, weak automotive demand and supply chain destocking. Demand in our core markets declined, putting pressure on prices and spreads. That we were able to achieve $2.4 billion of free cash flow in 2019 demonstrates the progress we have made in recent periods on our Action2020 plan. And this will continue as we have identified a further $1 billion of cost improvement opportunities to be captured in the year ahead.

We ended 2019 with net debt of $9.3 billion, its lowest-ever level, and are now focused on reaching our target of $7 billion by end of this year.

2019 also marked the culmination of a 15-year journey to establish a meaningful presence in India. In December, we completed the acquisition of Essar Steel India in partnership with Nippon Steel. Now the new business is named as ArcelorMittal Nippon Steel India, AMNS, provides us with a large and quality presence in the world's fastest-growing steel market. It is already a well-run, profitable business, but one which we feel we can add value to and grow over the medium term.

Looking ahead, there are some early signs of market improvement. Inventory levels are very low, which indicate the significant destock we witnessed throughout 2019 appears to be ending. This has supported the price rises we have seen in the U.S., European and Brazilian market since the end of last year.

Before we move to questions, I also want to provide you with an update on ArcelorMittal Italia. As you may remember, we signed a nonbinding agreement with the government-appointed Ilva commissioners on 20th December to continue negotiations on a new industrial plan for Ilva, which would include substantial equity investment by the state. This is a complex matter that impacts thousands of people, so we should not be surprised that discussions are still ongoing. I do not want to get drawn into answering detailed questions, but I can say that we are making progress, and we had a constructive meeting earlier this week with Prime Minister Conte. I would hope that we will make further progress over the course of today before the scheduled court hearing of tomorrow as I believe we are all focused on finding a sustainable solution.

seekingalpha.com/article/4322148-arce...

Zie link voor 11 bladzijden vol!
voda
1
ArcelorMittal Reports Q4 and 2019 Results

ArcelorMittal announced results for the three-month and twelve-month periods ended December 31, 2019. ArcelorMittal Chairman and CEO Mr LN Mittal said “2019 was a very tough year, clearly reflected in our significantly reduced profitability. However, our cash generation remained strong helping to reduce net debt to the lowest ever level. This demonstrates the contribution of our Action2020 programme which was designed to ensure ArcelorMittal can be cash flow positive through all aspects of the steel cycle. We expect to make further deleveraging progress this year. Maintaining a strong balance sheet and reaching our net debt target is a clear priority for ArcelorMittal. Having now completed the acquisition of Essar Steel India in partnership with Nippon Steel, we have also secured a new opportunity for the group in the fast-growing Indian market. The asset is performing well and offers considerable brownfield potential aligned with the country’s ambition to triple crude steel production over the next ten years. We also continue to invest strategically in research and development, including lower carbon steel-making processes and low carbon products. Steel has the potential to significantly reduce its carbon emissions, but new policy will be vital. In this regard we are encouraged by the position adopted by the new European Commission, including their support for a carbon border equalisation. Although market conditions remain challenging, there are encouraging early signs of improvement particularly in our core markets of US, Europe and Brazil. With inventory levels having reached a very low level following a period of de-stocking, we are seeing customers return to the market, supporting an improved pricing environment.”

Voor cijfers, zie pdf.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
Bijlage:
voda
1
ArcelorMittal South Africa Reports Loss in 2019

Africa’s largest steelmaker ArcelorMittal SA expects a loss of ZAR 4.676 billion in 209, from a profit of ZAR 1.37 billion in 2018. Revenue in 2019 fell 9% to ZAR 41.4 billion. It said “The global downturn in steel demand was faster and deeper than anticipated and there had been a breakdown in the correlation between steel prices and raw material costs during the year. The cash cost per tonne of liquid steel produced increased 12% to end-December, while sales volumes decreased 8%. Internationally, steel producers are struggling to respond fast enough to the dramatic change in the business environment compared to 2018. Increases in electricity, port and rail tariffs had a detrimental impact on the company’s international competitiveness.”

ArcelorMittal SA had said in November it would shutter its Saldanha operation, after concluding it had lost its structural competitive cost advantage.

Source : Strategic Research Institute
voda
3
quote:

Archie Steelman schreef op 7 februari 2020 16:32:

Dank je Voda, interessante artikelen weer. Mooi verzameld zo.
Een donatie in de AB pot wordt op prijs gesteld. :-)
inbetween
0
Dank je Voda. Ik heb nu ruim 1,5 jaar aangegeven niet LT te gaan in AM en heb derhalve veel kunnen handelen vanaf koers 11,65. Dit heeft afgelopen jaar geresulteerd in een behoorlijk hoog rendement. Nu ik alles gelezen heb omtrent de jaarcijfers is naar mijn idee toch wel duidelijk dat 2019 in alle opzichten een moeilijk jaar was voor AM, vandaar die low van 11,40. De voorraden wereldwijd drogen op (red. Tata steel ) wat weer meer vraag naar staal oplevert. Ik heb gister verkocht maar ben vandaag met een flinke pluk LONG gegaan, ja ja. Goed weekend allen ;-)
Archie Steelman
0
Arcelor en Aperam doen het ook vandaag gewoon goed.
In een rode beurs hogere koersen neerzetten is een knap staaltje
Dat opent perspectief
Archie Steelman
0
quote:

Archie Steelman schreef op 7 februari 2020 09:20:

[...] Ik zou graag de 16,21 van gisteren weer terug zien
Gelukt
finance2u
0
ArcelorMittal gaat echt DE topper van de AEX worden komende jaar...gewoon op basis van fundamentals en niet op gebakken lucht zoals veel fondsen.
Archie Steelman
0
quote:

Pokkertje schreef op 7 februari 2020 17:28:

Heb ik dit weer, net verkocht op 16.14.
Dit sprintje op het eind had ik ook niet verwacht. Meestal is het vrijdagmiddag na 15 uur zo dat de koersen dalen
Archie Steelman
0
Met een knaller van 7 cent in de eindveiling erbij de week uit op 16,35
Wie dat maandag had kunnen voorspellen zou nu schatrijk kunnen zijn
Prachtige ontwikkeling gezien deze week
Lang niet zo meegemaakt
Mag volgende week ook zo doorgaan natuurlijk
Kijken of het lukt
Prettig weekend
finance2u
0
quote:

Archie Steelman schreef op 7 februari 2020 17:31:

[...] Dit sprintje op het eind had ik ook niet verwacht. Meestal is het vrijdagmiddag na 15 uur zo dat de koersen dalen
Ik denk dat velen dachten dat door de overname van essar steel de nettoschuld flink zou oplopen...nu blijkt dat essar steel zelfs positief bijdraagt aan de winst, de schuld veel lager staat en een doel van nog maar 7 miljard aan het eind vh jaar..dividend omhoog, en als de schulddoelstelling bereikt is dan nog veel meer dividend..dan is een koers van boven de 30 en hoger zeker niet vreemd. En aangezien de staalprijzen flink in de lift zitten zou het mij niet verbazen als die schulddoelstelling wel heel gemakkelijk gehaald gaat worden (overigens gaat er in q1 sowieso weer wat vanaf vanwege percentage desinvestering in dat transportbelang wat verkocht werd en een deel in q1 geboekt werd)
voda
2
Hoe deed Arcelor het deze week t.o.v. de andere AEX fondsen?

ArcelorMittal 16,350 +22,42%--> SUPER, wat een resultaat zeg!!
Galapagos 225,500 +11,58%
ASML 278,550 +9,56%
ING 10,570 +7,58%
ABN AMRO BA... 16,755 +6,58%
Philips Kon... 44,000 +6,28%
PROSUS 69,310 +6,25%
Aegon 3,891 +6,05%
AALBERTS NV 41,450 +4,88%
ADYEN NV 870,600 +4,77%
IMCD 81,050 +3,84%
Wolters Kluwer 70,260 +3,45%
UNILEVER 54,510 +3,43%
DSM 114,050 +3,40%
Akzo Nobel 88,160 +3,35%
NN Group 32,430 +3,28%
ASR Nederland 34,730 +3,24%
RELX 24,580 +2,76%
Vopak 49,110 +1,51%
RANDSTAD NV 52,460 +0,96%
Ahold Delhaize 22,325 +0,56%
Royal Dutch... 23,680 -0,29%
Heineken 97,560 -0,77%
UNIBAIL-ROD... 121,550 -0,86%
KPN 2,482 -2,01%
voda
1
En de YTD staat:

Galapagos 225,500 +20,91%
ADYEN NV 870,600 +19,10%
RELX 24,580 +9,44%
Wolters Kluwer 70,260 +8,06%
UNILEVER 54,510 +6,40%
ASML 278,550 +5,63%
ArcelorMittal 16,350 +4,53%--> En meteen flink van de laagste plek af!!!
PROSUS 69,310 +4,18%
IMCD 81,050 +4,18%
ASR Nederland 34,730 +4,11%
AALBERTS NV 41,450 +3,60%
ABN AMRO BA... 16,755 +3,30%
Heineken 97,560 +2,78%
Vopak 49,110 +1,61%
Philips Kon... 44,000 +1,10%
Ahold Delhaize 22,325 +0,13%
ING 10,570 -1,10%
DSM 114,050 -1,77%
Akzo Nobel 88,160 -2,74%
RANDSTAD NV 52,460 -3,64%
NN Group 32,430 -4,11%
Aegon 3,891 -4,33%
KPN 2,482 -5,66%
Royal Dutch... 23,680 -9,50%
UNIBAIL-ROD... 121,550 -13,58%
finance2u
0
Staalprijzen omhoog coking coal in elkaar gezakt samen met ijzererts, China produceert veel minder staal en verscheept niets...een soort cocktail van positief nieuws!
zafira tourer
0
Peter Markus
1
quote:

Archie Steelman schreef op 7 februari 2020 17:00:

de hoogste koers van gisteren op 16,214 is terug op de borden.
ik heb al een paar keer geschreven dat ik veel extra winst ben misgelopen met aan- en verkoop in een stijgende markt.
Ik heb het wel eens uitgerekend dat ik ipv de hele winst daarvan slechts 55% heb kunnen veilig stellen omdat ik ze steeds weer duurder moest terugkopen.
Daar heb ik mijn lesje wel van geleerd.
Ik wacht gewoon op de € 20+
PM
voda
2
Het dag resultaat:

Slot op Dag Hoog!!

ArcelorMittal 16,35 0,438 2,75 % 17:35:52

Koersdetails
Laatste 16,35 17:35:52 Theor. open 16,35 17:35:10
Bied 16,21 17:40:00 Laat 16,38 17:40:00
Laagste 15,71 09:03:57 Hoogste 16,35 17:35:10
Open 15,93 09:00:16 Vorig slot 15,912 06-02-20
Cum. vol. 9.024.699 Gem. dagomzet 7.273.102
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Vertraagd 19 apr 2024 09:59
Koers 23,730
Verschil -0,070 (-0,29%)
Hoog 23,800
Laag 23,440
Volume 306.416
Volume gemiddeld 2.411.545
Volume gisteren 2.676.573

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