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[verwijderd] 30 augustus 2022 15:36

quote:
ffff id=14383660 daBresl,te=202208301513 schreef:
Maar het feit dat je er last van hebt wil NIET zeggen, dat je de maatregelen die het Westen neemt en genomen heeft niet kritisch mag bekijken. En dat is nu precies wat ik keer op keer doe. Het inkrimpende beleggingsvermogen van mij, van miljoenen beleggers, van alle pensioenfondsen staan daar gewoonweg even buiten.

Ik ben het volledig oneens met jouw betoog.
Rusland heeft een soeverein land aangevallen en nog wel binnen Europa dan rest ons niets anders dan haar producten niet meer af te nemen.
Ja de grote fouten zijn eerder gemaakt door ons afhankelijk te maken van Rusland waarvoor eerder al vaak gewaarschuwd werd.
De Groenen hebben keer op keer geprotesteerd tegen atoomcentrales en mevr. Merkel heeft helaas vele atoomcentrales in Duitsland gesloten (volgens Terlouw de grootste fout van Duitsland na 1945) en Merkel heeft handje klap gespeeld met de rattentsaar.
Europa heeft op energiegebied vele fouten gemaakt.
Toch is het de juiste beslissing om Rusland volledig onder sancties te zetten en dat het pijn doet het zij zo.
De sancties zullen in de toekomst weldegelijk hun nut bewijzen.

theo1 30 augustus 2022 15:40

Peter,

Die sancties hebben wel zin. Ze werken alleen niet direct. De sancties die het meest snelle effect hebben is het exportverbod van technologie. Maar die onderdelen hebben ze eerder vermoedelijk gehamsterd (en er is altijd wat smokkel) dus die voorraden worden eerst opgemaakt voordat je het effect van de sancties gaat merken. Maar dat begint nu dus goed merkbaar te worden. De werkloosheid wordt nog met kunstgrepen statistisch laag gehouden, maar dat zal niet lang houdbaar zijn.

Wat je ook gaat zien fout gaan is de luchtvaart. Westerse vliegtuigen worden niet meer onderhouden. Dus na een tijdje kan je er niet meer mee vliegen. Mag jij bedenken wat voor effect dat heeft in een land met de omvang van Rusland. Het houdt trouwens niet op met de Boeings en de Airbussen: ook in Russische vliegtuigen zitten geïmporteerde onderdelen. Zelfs het Russische ministerie heeft gemeld dat over een jaar of 2 de vloot op is.

De sancties waar je nu nog het minst van merkt is het verminderen van import van Russische olie en gas, omdat dat nu nog wordt gecompenseerd door hoge prijzen. Maar op lange termijn gaat dit pas echt aantikken. Ze raken gewoon een hele belangrijke markt kwijt. Zelfs de Duitsers hebben nu wel echt door dat op de Russen vertrouwen niet slim is.

En wat dacht je van wapenexport. Ook belangrijk voor Rusland. Deze oorlog is niet echt goede reclame. En klanten zullen wel eens gaan nadenken over hoe zeker ze kunnen zijn van onderhoud, reserveonderdelen, software updates enz voor hun Russische wapens. Traditioneel levert Rusland aan regimes die te smerig zijn om westerse wapens te kunnen kopen, landen die westerse wapens niet kunnen betalen en landen die een politiek conflict hebben met de VS. Maar aan de onderkant van de markt is steeds meer concurrentie van China en landen als India (hun belangrijkste klant) zijn bezig hun eigen wapenindustrie uit te breiden en die kopen nu ook al Franse vliegtuigen. Dat ziet er ook niet al te best uit.

Mdv 30 augustus 2022 15:44

De ingestelde sancties zijn heel belangrijk, het zijn de belangrijkste ondersteuning die Oekraïne heeft naast de wapenleveranties, Poetin kan Oekraïne tot niets dwingen hierdoor.

plusmin 30 augustus 2022 15:48

quote:
theo1 schreef op 30 augustus 2022 15:05:
[...]

Dat was geen oorlogsschip, dat was een vrachtschip met S300 luchtdoelraketten aan boord die ze uit Syrië hebben gehaald. Als we het over dezelfde schuit hebben tenminste.
Ja, dit zijn wel allemaal de laatste "vrienden" van Rusland. Maar we hebben al zoveel domme en schofterige acties gezien dat het me ook niet zou verbazen als ze die ook gewoon met hongersnood zouden laten zitten.

Een vrachtschip in bezit van het russische ministerie van defensie, dank je de koekoek...
Misschien geen kanonnen aan dek maar weldegelijk onderdeel van de krijgsmacht dus.
Maar dat wisten die Turken ook wel hoor, ze wisten waarschijnlijk zelfs wat er aan boord zat ook.
Die turken eten van 2 walletjes in een smerig schouwspel.

Hier ligt die RoRO, de Sparta II
www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/...

DeZwarteRidder 30 augustus 2022 15:48

Glasnost Gone heeft geretweet
John Hudson
@John_Hudson
·
7 u

pbs.twimg.com/card_img/15619929664361...
Scoop: Ukraine has developed a fleet of wooden decoys resembling U.S. rocket systems that have tricked Russian forces into wasting expensive long-range cruise missiles on dummy targets, per sources and photographs of the replicas reviewed by The Post.
washingtonpost.com
Ukraine lures Russian missiles with decoys of U.S. rocket system
Ukraine’s military has fooled Russia into firing expensive missiles at decoy HIMARs, the long-range artillery systems supplied by the United States.

DeZwarteRidder 30 augustus 2022 15:52

3 u
Careful what you report. Smoke is rising from the canal section of the Nova Kakhovka bridge - not the Hydroelectric Power Plant, which is further along the bridge. #Ukraine's hit this bridge area numerous times & each time made sure it missed the hydroelectric dam.

Brady Africk
@bradyafr
· 22 u
Afbeelding
Smoke rising from the Russian-controlled Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Plant in Kherson Oblast is visible in satellite imagery from today.
Glasnost Gone
@GlasnostGone
·
3 u
Away from southern #Ukraine, fierce battles are raging in the east, as Russian forces are still trying to push out from Donetsk city. Here, shelling is seen on the unfinished main road to village of Pisky. The mass of shell craters give you a sense of the intense fighting here.
Citeer Tweet
IgorGirkin
@GirkinGirkin
· 29 aug.

Deze collectie weergeven
47,2K keer bekeken
0:03 / 0:22
Glasnost Gone heeft geretweet
Ukrainska Pravda in English
@pravda_eng
·
4 u
Russian forces lose nearly 500 soldiers and significant quantity of military equipment in one day – General Staff

pbs.twimg.com/card_img/15645098807272...

Succes 30 augustus 2022 16:44

Hopelijk klopt dit ...

(vertaald)

Ik sprak met een vriend uit Cherson, schreef in een persoonlijk bericht dat het Russische leger zich massaal overgeeft, de rest vlucht uit Cherson en de regio, iedereen wil leven, de stemming is decadent, niemand wil sterven voor Poetin. #Kherson #Kherson #Oekraïne #oorlog #Rusland #Moskou #Peter

twitter.com/katrinwerty/status/156427...

Succes 30 augustus 2022 16:49

Russian Soldiers Blown Up by Own Mines Responding to Fake Call: Official

Russian troops were blown up by their own mines while responding to a fake call from pro-Ukrainian partisans early Monday morning, according to Mariupol officials.

The deaths come after more than six months of fighting as Ukraine continues to defend itself against the invasion that was launched by Russian President Vladimir Putin on February 24. Putin claimed the invasion was to "liberate" the separatist Donbas region from Ukrainian control. The invasion has been met with worldwide condemnation over skepticism over the justification, concerns about Ukrainian sovereignty, and reports of human-rights abuses from Russian soldiers.

Despite Moscow having one of the world's largest armies, it has largely failed to achieve its major goals in Ukraine, who have offered a spirited defense. Ukraine continues to fight back against Putin's military, including in places Russia successfully took earlier in the war such as Kherson, where Ukraine launched a counteroffensive on Monday—and Mariupol.

At about 2 a.m. Monday morning, a group of Russian troops on patrol in Mariupol received reports that "Azov" fighters were hiding inside a home on the outskirts of the city, the Mariupol mayor's office wrote in a Telegram post.

Mariupol, a city in southeast Ukraine, saw weeks of intense fighting throughout the war as both countries fought for control over the port city that is also home to the Azovstal steel plant. The Azov Regiment, which fought to keep the city in Ukrainian hands, has been labeled a terrorist organization by the Kremlin—making any lingering soldiers in Mariupol a target for Russian forces.

However, the reports Russian troops responded to were not legitimate and were created by a pro-Ukrainian group, though it was unclear exactly who created the message, according to the Telegram post.

"The result is one occupier minus a leg and a hospital in Donetsk. One occupier sings with Kobzon," the Telegram post reads. "The most piquant detail is that the occupiers blew up their own mines, which are ignored by the people in that area and by the spies. They were ignored, but we took advantage."

www.newsweek.com/russian-soldiers-blo...

Succes 30 augustus 2022 16:52

Kyiv claims some Russian forces starting to retreat; 'we will chase them to the border,' Zelenskyy says
CNBC

twitter.com/CNBC/status/1564507586468...

Succes 30 augustus 2022 16:58

U.S. notes the lack of Russian BTG staffing

Senior US defense officials believe that Russian battalion tactical groups may be understaffed.
This is stated in the CNN article.

They emphasize that Russia could deploy fewer units on the frontline than previously thought.

The official said that many of the existing units organized by Russia into battalion tactical groups (BTG) are deployed below strength, some even at half of their normal organizational manpower.

In addition, according to officials who were familiar with the intelligence data, the United States believes that Ukraine’s forces have begun “shaping” operations in the south of the country.

This is standard military practice in striking weapons systems, command and control posts, ammunition depots and other targets. It is used to prepare the battlefield for the planned offensive.

Previously, the Task Force “Kakhovka” reported that after the active successful combat work of the HIMARS missile systems, the Russians remained cut off from the supply of weapons and personnel from the territory of the occupied Crimea.

At the same time, the Head of the Joint Coordination Press Center of the defense forces of the south of Ukraine, Natalia Humeniuk, said that the invaders concentrated quite powerful forces on the right bank of the Dnieper in the south.

“They have been pulling forces there for quite some time, gathered with their military reserves, equipment, extra ammunition, and so on. But our previous actions, what we called fire control of enemy logistics, gave their results. Depots with ammunition, concentrations of military equipment and air defense systems were destroyed. It’s all definitely weakened the enemy, but we don’t have empty hopes, understanding that the enemy is quite powerful,” she said.

Humeniuk also emphasized that there is a certain moral decline among Russian troops, but “it’s too early to relax.”

mil.in.ua/en/news/u-s-notes-the-lack-...

Freemoneyforever 30 augustus 2022 17:50

quote:
Succes schreef op 30 augustus 2022 16:44:
Hopelijk klopt dit ...

(vertaald)

Ik sprak met een vriend uit Cherson, schreef in een persoonlijk bericht dat het Russische leger zich massaal overgeeft, de rest vlucht uit Cherson en de regio, iedereen wil leven, de stemming is decadent, niemand wil sterven voor Poetin. #Kherson #Kherson #Oekraïne #oorlog #Rusland #Moskou #Peter

twitter.com/katrinwerty/status/156427...

Niet de minste ging hen voor- of achterna:
Kremlin-appointed Kherson leader has fled to Russia – reports

A Moscow-installed leader of occupied Kherson has reportedly fled to Russia, a day after Kyiv announced it had begun its long-awaited counterattack aimed at taking back the southern region from Russian forces.

Kirill Stremousov, who was appointed deputy head of the Russian-backed Kherson military-civilian administration, has published regular video updates to state-owned Russian news outlets and his Telegram account.

But a Ukrainian activist, Serhii Sternenko, has claimed Stremousov is no longer in Kherson and has instead been filming his recent video updates somewhere near the Cathedral of Annunciation in Voronezh in Russia, which can be seen in the background.

Voronezh is almost 500 miles from Kherson and about 120 miles from the border with Ukraine.

In a series of tweets, Sternenko wrote:

Traitor to Ukraine and collaborator Stremousov escaped from Kherson and says that Kherson will forever remain Russian... from Voronezh to Russia.

www.theguardian.com/world/live/2022/a...

Freemoneyforever 30 augustus 2022 18:02

The deputy head of the Russian-installed administration in Ukraine’s occupied Kherson region, Kirill Stremousov, said in a telephone interview that “everything in Kherson was under control,” claiming that Ukrainian spies and saboteurs were killed near Kherson’s Tavriiskyi neighbourhood on Tuesday.

Earlier in the day, reports emerged that Stremousov had left Kherson after a video he posted appeared to indicate that he was located in Voronezh, a Russian city some 600 miles from Kherson.

When asked by the Guardian about his location, Stremousov said that he was currently “travelling around Russian cities, meeting different people for work”.

He said:

I don’t have to sit [in Kherson]. I am the deputy head of the region and have the opportunity to move around…These are working trips.

“Kherson will remain my base,” he added, denying that he left Kherson out of safety concerns.

Stremousov became the most senior Russian-appointed official in Kherson after the local governor, Volodymyr Saldo, was taken to hospital amid a suspected poisoning earlier in the summer.

Stremousov’s apparent departure from Kherson comes after another Russian-appointed official in the region, Alexei Kovalev, was shot dead in his home over the weekend.

In the past months, a number of Ukrainian nationals appointed by Russian forces in occupied territory have been killed or wounded in apparent partisan attacks.
Uit The Guardian

mjmj 30 augustus 2022 18:12

quote:
ffff schreef op 30 augustus 2022 15:13:
Bresl,

Die sancties hebben weinig zin is hetgeen ik keer op keer betoog en ook met voorbeelden aantoon.

Peter

Dit is een mening geen feit. Voorbeelden zijn niet maatgevend want die worden geselecteerd door de machtshebbers die de dienst uitmaken in de Russische media. Ook de economist heeft de wijsheid niet on pacht want systematische observaties in het land, op de straat, in de bedrijven ontbreken omdat Rusland er alles aan doet om die verdoezelen.

Verder is het omleggen van supply chains niet met een vingerknip te realiseren.

Kortom je uitspraken zijn gebaseerd op drijfzand.

closer 30 augustus 2022 18:15

quote:
Freemoneyforever schreef op 30 augustus 2022 18:02:
Uit The Guardian

Tip: zo moeilijk is het niet om een link naar het artikel te plaatsen, zoals Succes ook doet.
In de live-blog van The Guardian vind je die onder het tijdstip (bijv. 14m ago 16.58).

Freemoneyforever 30 augustus 2022 18:19

quote:
closer schreef op 30 augustus 2022 18:15:
[...]
Tip: zo moeilijk is het niet om een link naar het artikel te plaatsen, zoals Succes ook doet.
In de live-blog vind je die onder het tijdstip (bijv. 14m ago 16.58).

Het is ook met de link, die daarboven geplaatst is door mij, te vinden. Maar die van onder het tijdstip in de live-blog is dienstig, dank u.

closer 30 augustus 2022 18:23

quote:
Freemoneyforever schreef op 30 augustus 2022 18:19:
Het is ook met de link, die daarboven geplaatst is door mij, te vinden.

Sorry, dat eerdere bericht had ik niet gezien.

Oliegarch 30 augustus 2022 18:51

Supermarktbezoek www.youtube.com/watch?v=UUGAmBGbg1U&a...

Succes 30 augustus 2022 18:53

Six Months on, the Costs of the Ukraine War Are Mounting … for Russia | Opinion
Ilan Berman - 4h ago

How is Russia faring in its war of choice against Ukraine? With Moscow's military campaign against its western neighbor now at its six-month mark, the tally is both simple and stark: by virtually every metric, the past half-year has been nothing short of ruinous for the Kremlin.

Militarily, Russia's initial plans for a campaign to rapidly "demilitarize" and "de-Nazify" Ukraine, overrun Kyiv and install a new government there fell by the wayside long ago. In the face of fierce Ukrainian resistance, as well as spectacular battlefield missteps in the war's early phases, Moscow was forced to revise its initial plans downward to merely occupying Ukraine's east. But even this objective isn't going particularly well; Russia currently controls around 20 percent of Ukrainian territory, having lost significant ground since the high water mark of its invasion. And, buoyed by ongoing support and a steady stream of military materiel from the West, Ukraine is poised on the cusp of a major counteroffensive that could see Moscow's gains shrink still further.

In human terms, too, the toll of Russia's Ukraine campaign has been exorbitantly high. The U.S. intelligence community now estimates that the Russian military has lost in excess of 60,000 troops in Ukraine so far—more than the total losses suffered by the Soviet Union during a decade of war in Afghanistan in the 1980s. This subpar performance, in turn, has helped puncture the aura of military prowess that had been carefully cultivated by the Kremlin since World War II. Russia, which at the start of the war was seen as the second strongest military in Europe, now does not even rank as the strongest military in Ukraine.

Nor does this situation look to improve any time soon. Whereas Ukrainians are united in their determination to fight to preserve their independence, Russians appear far less committed to Russian President Vladimir Putin's pet cause. So, as the war has dragged on, Moscow has found it more and more difficult to field forces for its military offensive. As a result, it has been forced to resort to increasingly creative means to replenish its dwindling army ranks—such as the recruitment of convicts (including rapists and murderers) to serve in the military through promises of lavish stipends and amnesties if they survive. Yet even these methods haven't succeeded in fully replenishing Russia's military, and key units now lack adequate personnel.

Economically, meanwhile, Putin's war of choice—and the West's response to it—has ravaged the country. You might not know it from the public statements of Russian officials, who have taken pains to point to a rebounding ruble and other indicators as proof that the country, although not thriving, is nonetheless surviving Western pressure. The true state of affairs, however, is considerably grimmer. According to a new study by Yale University's School of Management, the Russian economy has been "catastrophically crippled" by the cumulative impact of Western sanctions and the departure of thousands of international firms. "Russia has lost companies representing ~40% of its GDP, reversing nearly all of three decades worth of foreign investment," the report states. Moreover, sanctions have "irrevocably deteriorated" Russia's exports, while imports into the country from abroad have "largely collapsed."

The impact is being felt in various Russian industries, which have now become closed off to the world. Russia's aviation industry, for example, has begun to eat itself, with state-owned airline Aeroflot resorting to stripping working aircraft for spare parts in order to service its many Western-built planes amid a parts shortage caused by sanctions. Russia's automotive sector is faring even worse. Car production has constricted by a staggering 97 percent as major automakers have pulled out of the country, and just two out of 20 car plants now remain in Russia.

None of this means that the Kremlin is about to cut its losses on the Ukraine front, however. To the contrary, Russian President Vladimir Putin and his cronies appear to be gambling that increasingly extreme brinkmanship (like threatening to obliterate Europe's largest nuclear power plant) might allow them to eke out a measure of strategic victory vis-à-vis Kyiv.

Nevertheless, it is already clear that, across metrics that matter—political standing, economic prosperity, and military prowess—the costs of the present conflict have already become exorbitantly high, both for Russia and for ordinary Russians.

www.newsweek.com/six-months-costs-ukr...

Succes 30 augustus 2022 19:02

Russia’s Latest Move Toward ‘De-Dollarization’ Seen as Symbolic

In the Russian government’s latest move to reduce its reliance on a global financial system dominated by the United States and its allies, Kremlin authorities Monday began a policy of barring the use of U.S. dollars as collateral for transactions on the Moscow Exchange, Russia’s largest financial services marketplace.

According to experts, the change was more symbolic than practical, because a broad slate of sanctions imposed on Russia over its expanded invasion of Ukraine have made it almost impossible for Russian businesses to make dollar-based transactions. The change comes just a few weeks after the Moscow Exchange reduced the acceptable percentage of U.S. dollars in collateral from 50% of total value to 25%.

......

However, even Russian officials have conceded that creating a system completely independent of the dollar is not feasible.
Commenting on his country’s growing relationship with China in June, Russian Ambassador to China Andrei Denisov said, “Full de-dollarization is impossible in principle, and no one is setting this goal, considering that the dollar is actually a tool, an accounting currency, means for international settlements and international payments.”

Bad options

Jeffrey Mankoff, a distinguished research fellow at the National Defense University and a non-resident senior associate with the Center for Strategic and International Studies, told VOA that while Russia may be able to make some transactions in non-dollar currencies, the practice is “suboptimal” at best, and the future looks bleak for the Russian economy.

“The problem is, there's not really a good alternative to the dollar at this point,” Mankoff said. “There's no other currency that is convertible to the extent the dollar is and has a deep liquid securities market behind it so that you're not taking on big exchange rate risks by doing business in it.”

While the use of non-dollar currencies for settlement keeps cash flowing into Russian coffers, he said, “The problem is the money can't really flow out. Or, it can't flow out to buy the things that Russia needs, which are restricted because of sanctions.”

Russia cannot import many of the consumer goods that its citizens had been used to purchasing, which has eroded living standards. Additionally, Russia cannot import semiconductors and other high-tech components needed for domestic manufacturing operations.

In the end, Mankoff said, Russia’s options are starkly limited if it remains cut off from most global markets, and economic conditions are likely to get worse.

“Manufacturing, anything kind of high-tech related, and that includes military goods, is going to get harder and harder,” Mankoff said. “If this war is still going on six months or 12 months or longer from now, I think you're going to see the impact of these restrictions increasing over time.”

Lees gehele verhaal:
www.voanews.com/a/russia-s-latest-mov...

Succes 30 augustus 2022 19:07

L3Harris from US to provide Vampire counter drone system to Ukraine

According to information released by the United States Department of Defense on August 24, 2022, American Company L3Harris will provide its "Vampire" counter-drone system to the Ukrainian armed forces.

The L3Harris Vehicle-Agnostic Modular Palletized ISR Rocket Equipment (VAMPIRE) is a portable kit that can be installed on most vehicles with a cargo bed for the launching of the Advanced Precision Kill Weapons System (APKWS) or other laser-guided munitions.

This L3Harris APKWS launcher and designator kit provides a rapid solution for arming non-tactical vehicles (NTV) and a variety of tactical vehicles while integrating components to customer-specific specifications. Our capability provides ground forces the ability to engage targets beyond the range of weapons normally carried by SOF and light forces.

The L3Harris Vampire counter drone kit can be easily integrated to a light tactical vehicle in less than two hours and can be used by a single soldier. The counter-drone system is operated via a tablet interface mounted inside of the vehicle

Using a light tactical vehicle, the Vampire offers a high mobility solution that can be easily and rapidly deployed on the modern battlefield. It is powered by its own battery and it does not require to be connected to the battery of the vehicle platform.

The L3 Harris Vampire integrates the WESCAM MX-10™- RSTA independent stabilized sighting system to provide ISR (Intelligence Search and Rescue) overmatch.

The APKWS is a laser-guided weapon system designed by BAE Systems which is able to fire the laser-guided Hydra 70mm rocket. The APKWS can destroy aerial targets such as rotary-wing aircraft at a maximum range of 5 km or fixed-wing aircraft at a maximum range of 11 km. The L3Harris Vampire can control and detect aerial threats from 400 to 1,600 m.

www.armyrecognition.com/defense_news_...

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