Van beleggers
voor beleggers
desktop iconMarkt Monitor

Ontvang nu dagelijks onze kooptips!

word abonnee

Slotcall: AEX mist impulsen, actie ligt bij de smallcaps

Meld u aan voor de dagelijkse Beursupdate

Dagelijks een update van het laatste beursnieuws en beleggingskansen in uw mailbox!

 

Analyse door: Martin Crum

Martin Crum is senior beleggingsanalist met meer dan twintig jaar beroepsmatige ervaring op de financiële markten, bij bedrijven als Euronext, Optiver en AEK. Als fundamenteel analist ligt zijn focus en voorkeur bij solide bedrijven met een stevige kasstroom. Sinds 2013 levert hij met zijn eigen bedrijf Beagsh Research & Trad...

Meer over Martin Crum

Recente analyses van Martin Crum

  1. 15:00 Ingaan of niet op het bod op de Rabobank Certificaten?
  2. 10:45 Moeten banken meer eigen vermogen aanhouden?
  3. 15 apr Heeft schuldenvrij aandeel Holland Colours potentieel? 2

Reacties

2 Posts
| Omlaag ↓
  1. forum rang 7 wiegveld 5 juni 2023 18:19
    Morgan Stanley zegt koersen EU aandelen dalen met 10% (mogelijk)

    www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-...

    Markets
    Morgan Stanley Strategist Sees European Stocks Falling 10% This Summer
    Strategist sees near-term equity slump followed by rebound
    Downgrades financials sector to neutral and upgrades pharma
    BySagarika Jaisinghani
    5 juni 2023 om 09:58 CEST
    Listen to this article
    2:01
    Share this article

    Gift this article
    Follow the authors
    @sagarikareports
    + Get alerts forSagarika Jaisinghani

    In this article

    European stocks may drop as much as 10% over the next few months.

    That’s the view of Morgan Stanley strategists led by Graham Secker, who expect the MSCI Europe Local Index to slump over the summer as economic growth slows and market liquidity shrinks, before rebounding again toward the end of the year.

    “Year-to-date equity resilience is likely to become increasingly challenged over the next three months as economic momentum disappoints and liquidity conditions tighten further,” Secker wrote in a note dated June 4. “We see cracks emerging.”

    The strategist — who earlier this year correctly predicted the outperformance of European stocks versus the US — said global economic growth will likely slow materially over the next couple of quarters, while European stocks will also have to contend with a stronger US dollar, ongoing monetary tightening and liquidity issues.

    Shrinking liquidity is expected as the US Treasury sells bonds to refill its coffers after the debt-ceiling deal — with other strategists also predicting a big hit to equity markets as bank deposits are raided to pay for the new T-Bills.

    European Stocks Are No Longer Outperforming US Peers | The Stoxx 600 lagged the S&P 500 by the most since 2010 in dollar terms in May

    After surging almost 10% this year through the end of April, European stocks faltered in May amid worries about sticky inflation and a potential recession. The region also underperformed the S&P 500 by the most since 2010 in dollar terms as the US benchmark — which includes more technology stocks — was boosted by a rally in artificial intelligence-related companies.

    Secker is still positive on European stocks in the longer term. He expects the summer slump to be followed by a rebound as Europe benefits from cheaper valuations and more resilient earnings trends than the US. The strategist expects the MSCI Europe Local index to end the year at 1,970 points, implying almost 6% upside from Friday’s close.

    In the note, Secker also downgraded European banks and insurers to neutral from overweight, saying the sector will struggle to outperform during an economic downturn and the end of the rate-hiking cycle. He upgraded pharmaceuticals stocks to overweight and food retail stocks to neutral to reflect a more defensive stance for the next few months.
2 Posts
|Omhoog ↑

Meedoen aan de discussie?

Word nu gratis lid of log in met je emailadres en wachtwoord.

Lees verder op het IEX netwerk Let op: Artikelen linken naar andere sites

Gesponsorde links