ASML « Terug naar discussie overzicht

quote:

1ofakind schreef op 6 november 2015 19:45:

Op de dip in augustus op 73.93 wat ASML-etjes gekocht. Doel is 95 euri, begint steeds dichterbij te komen... Dan maar weer gaan verkopen denk ik, anders krijg ik hoogtevrees...

quote:

Prince Meander schreef op 9 november 2015 11:40:

ASML beleggers mochten afgelopen week 5%
en afgelopen maand 13% bijschrijven!
Maar velen konden blijkbaar de afgelopen maanden de stress van de downtrend niet aan en zijn jammergenoeg te vroeg uitgestapt
Nog steeds een aantrekkelijke koers om in te stappen
Op naar de E120!

quote:

SNSN schreef op 11 november 2015 10:33:

The stock is testing st-support at ~87.50 for a second session...., and profs are buying st-'puts'....

Take care.

Just not bad to know:

What’s ASML Holding NV (ADR) Upside After Today’s Bearish Options Activity?


November 10, 2015 by Casey Mccarthy in Stock Options News (financialmagazin.com)

"In today’s session ASML Holding NV (ADR) (ASML) recorded an unusually high (601) contracts volume of put trades. Someone, most probably a professional was a very active buyer of the November, 2015 put, expecting serious ASML decrease. With 601 contracts traded and 1206 open interest for the Nov, 15 contract, it seems this is a quite bearish bet. The option with symbol: ASML151120P00097500 closed last at: $4.6 or 48.4% up. The stock is down 0.02% or $0.02 after the news, hitting $93.5 per share. About 2.31 million shares traded hands or 128.71% up from the average. ASML Holding NV (ADR) (NASDAQ:ASML) has declined 4.25% since April 8, 2015 and is downtrending. It has underperformed by 4.09% the S&P500......"

·

quote:

nietsomber schreef op 11 november 2015 12:41:

To SNSN waarom niet het hele artikel knippen

komt dat niet uit me je verhaal?

Out of 4 analysts covering ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:ASML), 2 rate it “Buy”, 1 “Sell”, while 1 “Hold”. This means 50% are positive. ASML Holding NV was the topic in 4 analyst reports since July 21, 2015 according to StockzIntelligence Inc.

quote:

SNSN schreef op 11 november 2015 13:22:

[...]

Just because the first part represents an OBJECTIVE new fact/info, while the rest of the article:

1) is NOT really new (was repeated many times weeks ago), and

2) represents just SUBJECTIVE VIEWS of certain people (actually much more than 20 analysts are following the stock and have their own private opinions.... which are certainly NOT facts)

have a nice day/trading

quote:

MJansen schreef op 11 november 2015 13:34:

[...]

Oh come on.. objective... :')

"it was probably" is not a strong indication of objectivity.

quote:

SNSN schreef op 11 november 2015 14:11:

[...]

Ja, indeed, just few objective new facts (not bad to know):

a) "... In today’s session ASML Holding NV (ADR) (ASML) recorded an unusually high (601) contracts volume of put trades..."

b) "... With 601 contracts traded and 1206 open interest for the Nov, 15 contract,..."

c) "... The option with symbol: ASML151120P00097500 closed last at: $4.6 or 48.4% up..."

d) "... The stock is down 0.02% or $0.02 after the news, hitting $93.5 per share..."

e) "... About 2.31 million shares traded hands or 128.71% up from the average..."

f) "... ASML Holding NV (ADR) (NASDAQ:ASML) has declined 4.25% since April 8, 2015 and is downtrending..." (yes, the last one is NOT really new - read old posts)

quote:

MJansen schreef op 11 november 2015 14:20:

[...]

a) quoting random activity, without baseline activity is not objective.
b) to buy a put option, you also need a seller. Guess what, the seller's interest is completely opposite of that of the buyer. The seller is usually a market maker, who is well aware of market positions
c) not interesting information
d) what a load of crap. 0.02% is just trading noise, not a significant reaction to a 'news'
e) there were also a lot of press releases from, a.o. ASE, TSMC, etc. Much more likely to cause the high volume of trading activity.
f) Why april and not YTD? Because that's when the downtrend started? Lol, talk about objective reporting. Btw, you're the only one who is seeing a down trend.
The semiconductor industyr downtrend has been broken as of October, when the signals of inventory adjustments coming to an end started to surface.

quote:

SNSN schreef op 11 november 2015 15:31:

[...]

You need just to be more attentive and concentrated when reading objective facts:

a) "unusual rising volume" (to 601 contracts) --> it's rising above average, i.e. "systemic info" (not random) with objective content - "number of contracts"

b) it's just a "home task-1": what do you think about the ratio sellers/buyers if prices are rising sharply ? (help: just apply standard "supply/demand" principle)

ja, "home task-2": "put contracts Nov 2015" - when could you expect an impact - soon, or later? (help: take a look at the calendar and charts)

c) "home task-3": if the 'put-price' up 48.2% --> 1) which parties dominate - "sellers" or "buyers" ? (help: take a look at point (a) above); 2) if "put-buyers" dominate (pushing prices up), what is the "spec. bet", or just a hedge - "bullish", or "bearish" (help: read just a book on derivative pricing, hedging strategies)

So, just read points once more, and if difficult, just read them again and again (it helps... sometimes)

PS. As for the point (f) - better read old posts (since last Mar), and take a look at the 1-year daily chart --> you'll see the strategic top-forming (caused by institutionals cashing) started last March, and the mt-downtrend started since May 28 - just under the main r-zone (read old posts for details)

have a nice time with trading, reading, studying..., and home tasks.

PS. Yes, as for the downtrend, it seems even a writer (of abovementioned paper) did saw it .... (read paper, or just a post again)