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Outlook AEX this week [18/6 - 22/6]

13 Posts

Omlaag ↓

[verwijderd] 17 juni 2018 14:43

HTF we just had quad expiry last friday.

It is not unusual to see a shift in direction afterwards.

Fundamentally we have FED hiking rates and ECB tapering QE (both bearish stocks / indices)

Politically we have troublesome circumstances in the EU-periphery (Italy, Spain, Brexit)

Seasonally we see AEX weakening in (the 2nd part of) June.

Looking to sell the AEX at the (previous weeks/month) highs.

Chart: cdn.thehuddle.nl/uploads/tenants/124/...

Bijlage:

[verwijderd] 20 juni 2018 01:03

AEX Update:

Looking for 543.50 as downside target for this month.

This is the AEX year-open.

Chart: charts.mql5.com/18/549/aex-m30-ava-tr...

Bijlage:

[verwijderd] 20 juni 2018 16:58

AEX Update:

Price gapped up on open, into the resistance zone.

Then reversed down to close the opening gap.

Then dropped lower after NY-Open.

Looking for the downmove to continue.

Analysis is reinforced when monthly-open level @ 554.15 is broken down.

Chart: charts.mql5.com/18/554/aex-m30-ava-tr...

Bijlage:

[verwijderd] 21 juni 2018 12:14

AEX Update:

Downmove continued today as predicted.

Price gapped down after opening and breached the monthly-open level @ 554.15.

Looking for 550 and then 547.50 as next downside targets.

Watching dollar-index for a reversal down around the 95.35 level.

That could be the trigger for a retrace up in the AEX.

Chart: charts.mql5.com/18/560/aex-m30-ava-tr...

Bijlage:

[verwijderd] 21 juni 2018 13:29

AEX Update:

Today's gap closed.

Time to push lower.

Expecting a break of the lows @ 551.75

Chart: charts.mql5.com/18/561/aex-m30-ava-tr...

Bijlage:

[verwijderd] 21 juni 2018 16:33

Update AEX:

Price moved lower after NY-open.

Downside target 551.75 hit.

Chart: charts.mql5.com/18/562/aex-m30-ava-tr...

Bijlage:

[verwijderd] 22 juni 2018 01:08

Update AEX:

Prediction for Friday:

AEX closed lower 5 days in a row.

Price broke the monthly and hit support, also weekly exp.

Time for profit taking and scale back risk f/t weekend.

Look for retrace (gap) up, then up to 555.25 and maybe 558.00

Chart: charts.mql5.com/18/564/aex-h1-ava-tra...

Bijlage:

[verwijderd] 22 juni 2018 09:14

Update AEX - Fridaymorning:

We opened gap up as expected.

Price broke the monthly upwards.

First target 555.25 almost hit.

Looking for more upside while gap remains open for a later moment.

Probably monday.

Upside targets remain the same: 555.25 & 558.00

Chart: charts.mql5.com/18/567/aex-m15-ava-tr...

Bijlage:

[verwijderd] 22 juni 2018 13:28

Update AEX - Noon:

AEX moved higher without closing opening gap.

Second upside target 558.00 (almost) hit.

Chart: charts.mql5.com/18/569/aex-m15-ava-tr...

Bijlage:

[verwijderd] 22 juni 2018 14:28

Update AEX - prior to NY-session:

One more prediction for the week.

Looking for AEX to run the highs (559 / 560) before NY-open session.

Then on NY-open expect the SP500 to move lower, dragging AEX down with it.

Back to the middle of today's range.

Chart: charts.mql5.com/18/569/aex-m15-ava-tr...

Bijlage:

[verwijderd] 23 juni 2018 13:33

AEX Update - recap NY-session:

Upside target (560) hit before open of NY-session.

SP500 did move lower after NY-session open as predicted.

AEX retraced in line with SP500, but not as much as anticipated.

Looking for the downturn to continue on Monday.

Chart: charts.mql5.com/18/574/aex-m5-ava-tra...

Bijlage:

[verwijderd] 12 juni 2020 05:44

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nousch 13 juni 2020 15:23

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AEX 874,79 +8,28 +0,96% 23 apr


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