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[verwijderd] 3 november 2014 13:56

Keek op de week voor goud.
Avi Gilburt, ElliottWaveTrader.net via Seeking Alpha. The 'Real' Reason Gold Will See $5000

Summary

Too many "reasons" for a gold rally have failed.
Frustration is setting in for metals bulls.
Upcoming week's expectations.

seekingalpha.com/article/2628365-the-...

ebub 5 november 2014 11:16

jeffry curryworst krijgt wel gelijk met slam dunk sell naar de 1080 wat ie zei begin dit jaar. ongelovelijk wat een bloedbad. ik begrijp er niets meer van

B_B 5 november 2014 13:58

Because Nothing Says "Best Execution" Like Dumping $1.5 Billion In Gold Futures At 0030ET
Tyler Durden's pictureSubmitted by Tyler Durden on 11/05/2014 01:07 -0500

For the 5th day in a row, "someone" has decided that 0030ET would be an appropriate time (assuming the 'seller' is an investor who prefers best execution rather than the standard non-economically-rational share-repurchaser in America) to be dumping large amounts of precious metals positions via the futures market. Tonight, with over 13,000 contracts being flushed through Gold - amounting to over $1.5 billion notional, gold prices tumbled $20 to $1151 (its lowest level since April 2010). Silver is well through $16 and back at Feb 2010 lows. The USDollar is also surging.

The timing of the dump is right as Japanese trading breaks for lunch

www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-11-05/bec...

Afgelopen vrijdag kwam de aanval op het goud vanuit de FX market.

Volgende week wordt het eindelijk mooi weer.
De zon zal alleen op het GOUD schijnen.

B_B 6 november 2014 13:57

Bij de vorige ontmoeting tussen Xi en Obama hebben de Chinezen de YUAN een duw gegeven.
Misschien gaan ze volgende week (APEC) de goudprijs een duw gegeven.

ebub 7 november 2014 12:18

ach b_b die paar tonnetjes goud naar china of whatever zet geen zoden aan de dijk. Dat ongedekte futurekes gesol van die grootbanken onder aanvoering van jeffry currieworst van goldman sucks breekt en maakt de prijs van goud (en zilver)

B_B 7 november 2014 14:08

quote:
ebub schreef op 7 november 2014 12:18:
ach b_b die paar tonnetjes goud naar china of whatever zet geen zoden aan de dijk. Dat ongedekte futurekes gesol van die grootbanken onder aanvoering van jeffry currieworst van goldman sucks breekt en maakt de prijs van goud (en zilver)

U heeft gelijk.

Alleen een gigantische stijging in Gold Premium kan deze twee (papier en fysiek) van elkaar scheiden.
Goud is bijna op.

[verwijderd] 8 november 2014 17:19

Gisteren een mooie stijging van goud. Zou dit de draai worden?? Ik voel wel , dat we er dicht tegen aan zitten. Ik verwacht een flinke correctie/ crash op korte termijn, waarbij er een giga squeeze komt in goud....we zullen zien....zit in nugt nu, wel risicovol, maar als het goud zijn draai heeft gevonden, kunnen we zo 300% omhoog.....succes...stonden een tijd geleden nog 400 dollar....nu ruim 13 , na van de week zelfs even onder de 10 genoteerd te hebben.....

B_B 10 november 2014 01:16

quote:
B_B schreef op 31 oktober 2014 14:16:
Ik kan niet tegen mijn (papieren) verlies.
Ik wil minimaal 100 dollar stijging in 1 maand.

Nog 95 dollar te gaan.

Een zeer belangrijke week voor GOUD.

B_B 10 november 2014 01:25

quote:
B_B schreef op 6 november 2014 13:57:
Bij de vorige ontmoeting tussen Xi en Obama hebben de Chinezen de YUAN een duw gegeven.
Misschien gaan ze volgende week (APEC) de goudprijs een duw gegeven.

Saturday, November 8: Today in Gold and Silver
11/08/14

NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- The gold price did zip in early Far East trading, but the HFT boyz set a new low tick minutes after 1 p.m. Hong Kong time. Then an hour or so later, the gold price rallied back to a few dollars back above unchanged shortly before the London open. From there it traded flat until ten or so minutes before the Comex open. Then a rally began that continued through the rest of the New York session---including electronic trading after the 1:30 p.m. EST Comex close. I was amazed to see that gold closed on its absolute high tick of the day.

The low and high were reported by the CME Group as $1,130.40 and $1,179.00 in the December contract, an intraday move of 4.3%, which is huge for gold.

Gold closed on Friday in New York at $1,178.50 spot, up $37.20 on the day. Net volume was enormous at 267,000 contracts, so it's obvious that this rally was not going unopposed.
.....
www.thestreet.com/story/12946650/1/sa...

[verwijderd] 11 november 2014 01:51

Keek op de week voor goud.
Avi Gilburt, ElliottWaveTrader.net via Seeking Alpha; GLD: Please Do Not Overreact - Part 1

Summary

Bulls seem to be giving up.
Does sentiment really drive buying and selling?
Why is there a need to "believe" in fundamentals?

seekingalpha.com/article/2661425-gld-...

[verwijderd] 11 november 2014 01:53

Keek op de week voor goud.
Avi Gilburt, ElliottWaveTrader.net via Seeking Alpha; GLD: Please Do Not Overreact - Part 2

Summary

Is the US Dollar really controlling?
Why your current reaction regarding gold may be wrong.
Upcoming week's expectations.

seekingalpha.com/article/2661435-gld-...

[verwijderd] 11 november 2014 09:43

Conclusie van bovenstaande blog (zeer aan te raden regelmatig te volgen), neem zolangzamerhand winst op eventuele shortposities en bouw op voor long! Alhoewel er nog een forse tik kan volgen, de bodem komt vlgs. Avi Gilburt nu zo'n beetje in zicht. Hoe meer negatieve verhalen er over goud en zilver gepubliceerd gaan worden, hoe beter we weten dat de markt een draai gaat nemen. We houden vol, jullie toch ook?

bodemvisser50 14 november 2014 10:56

De Zwitsers gaan een referendum houden ergens in december over de goudhoeveelheid Zwitserland zou opbouwen. De geruchten zijn 20 % bij te kopen in geval een ja.
Ik heb 48000 euro aangekocht op McEwens Mining, de Ceo heeft goldcorp grootgemaakt en wil met MUX hetzelfde doen. Staan nu 1.27 usd genoteerd en komen ook met de terugval van 3,74 euro in apri, voor de terugval.
Ik denk dat de bodem ongeveer is gevormd. Nu geduld hebben. Er gebeurt
in de wereld zo veel dat de goudprijs wel een serieus omhoogschiet.

svenhedin 14 november 2014 21:37

Weet je misschien de fondscode bij Alex voor mij ?

svenhedin 14 november 2014 21:53

Gevonden, thanks

B_B 14 november 2014 22:11

quote:
bodemvisser50 schreef op 14 november 2014 10:56:
De Zwitsers gaan een referendum houden ergens in december over de goudhoeveelheid Zwitserland zou opbouwen. De geruchten zijn 20 % bij te kopen in geval een ja.
Ik heb 48000 euro aangekocht op McEwens Mining, de Ceo heeft goldcorp grootgemaakt en wil met MUX hetzelfde doen. Staan nu 1.27 usd genoteerd en komen ook met de terugval van 3,74 euro in apri, voor de terugval.
Ik denk dat de bodem ongeveer is gevormd. Nu geduld hebben. Er gebeurt
in de wereld zo veel dat de goudprijs wel een serieus omhoogschiet.

Silverbull 15 okt 2014 om 19:01
Zwitserland houdt eind november referendum over goudvoorraad. Als er een ja uitkomt moeten ze 1500 ton goud kopen. thebullionhouse.nl/goud-prijs/goudvoo...

Referendum is op 30 november.

Ik denk dat u minimaal 20% winst maakt, maar ik hoop dat u uw 48000 euro verdubbelt.

B_B 14 november 2014 22:36

Gold Futures Post Biggest Two-Day Rally Since June
By Debarati Roy Nov 14, 2014 9:32 PM GMT+0100

Gold futures jumped, capping the biggest two-day gain since June, as an oil rally damped concern that inflation will remain low and revived demand for the metal as a store of wealth. Silver surged the most in nine months.

Aggregate gold trading more than doubled compared with the 100-day average for this time, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Today, an option wager on a price rebound to $1,200 an ounce surged as much as fivefold, while Brent crude jumped as much as 2.9 percent.

Oil tumbled into a bear market last month, and Federal Reserve officials warned that lower energy costs may hold down consumer costs in the near term. Crude’s slump is increasing the likelihood that producers will curb output, helping to stabilize prices. Fed Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said today that inflation expectations have rebounded since October.

“The spike in oil prices acted as a catalyst,” David Meger, the director of metals trading at Vision Financial Markets in Chicago, said in a telephone interview. “There was a lot of fund buying.”

Gold futures for December delivery rose 2.1 percent to settle at $1,185.60 at 1:38 p.m. on the Comex in New York. Earlier, the price reached $1,192.90, the highest for a most-active contract since Oct. 31. In two days, the price climbed 2.3 percent, the most since June 20.

Total volume rose to an estimated 315,276 contracts, the seventh time this year trading topped 300,000. Yesterday, aggregate open interest climbed to the highest since May 22, 2013.

Technical ‘Momentum’

More than 10,000 contracts for December delivery traded around 10:06 a.m., with prices jumping about 1.5 percent within six minutes and erasing earlier declines. Today’s session low was $1,146 at 8:35 a.m.

“A lot of buy stops were triggered at $1,167.40, and that brought in the upward momentum,” Phil Streible, a senior commodity broker at R.J. O’Brien & Associates in Chicago, said in a telephone interview. “Today’s run-up was largely technical, and a few investors bought gold after oil prices showed some strength.”

OPEC ministers have stepped up their diplomatic visits before the group’s Nov. 27 meeting, potentially seeking a consensus on how to react to oil prices that have plunged to a four-year low. Gold reached a five-year low of $1,130.40 on Nov. 7 as energy prices tumbled and U.S. equities climbed to a record.

Forward Rates

The one-, two-, three- and six-month gold forward offered rates have turned negative, which is a sign of increased physical demand, Ade Odunsi, a portfolio manager at New York-based Treesdale Partners LLC, said in a telephone interview. A form of backwardation, when earlier prices are more expensive than for later dates, the negative rate signals that dealers are paid to lend metal against cash, rather than paying for the privilege.

A call option on gold, giving owners right to buy Dec. futures at $1,200, reached $12.50 after closing at an all-time low of $2.20 yesterday. Trading was an estimated 2,213 contracts, the second-most active option.

Silver futures for December delivery surged 4.4 percent to $16.314 an ounce, the biggest gain since Feb. 14. Earlier, the price fell as much as 2.4 percent. Trading doubled compared with the 100-day average, according to Bloomberg data.
.....
www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-14/gol...

B_B 16 november 2014 00:36

Is Gold Turning The Corner?
By GoldMoney News DeskCommoditiesNov 14, 2014 10:11AM GMT

After a very strong rise last Friday precious metals drifted lower-to-sideways for most of the week, but behind this unexceptional behaviour there are some tectonic shifts under way.

When the price rose on Friday open interest increased by 16,366 contracts, an enormous rise, and volume was exceptionally heavy as well. Events such as this often mark a turning-point in markets, and open interest has continued to grow, especially on Wednesday when a further 12,852 contracts were added. Furthermore, the gold forward rate in London between spot and one month has gone sharply negative, indicating a severe physical shortage.

Last Friday's exceptional action was noted by technical analysts, so much so that the Bank of America's (NYSE:BAC) MacNeil Curry, their chief technical analyst, instantly called it a major bottom. Since chartists all follow similar methods it is very likely that the record number of shorts harbour serious doubts.

There's no doubt that the action is in gold rather than silver, and while volume was good on Friday when gold had its sharp rise, silver was noticeably muted until open interest rose strongly on Wednesday. If silver is to recover from here, it looks like it will be led by gold. In both cases however, the jump in open interest tells us it is new buying and not bear-closing driving the market, which is positive.

I referred to tectonic shifts in my opening paragraph. This week combined regulatory fines inflicted on five major banks totalled $4.3bn, which according to the Financial Times takes total bank fines in 2014 to a staggering $56.5bn. The latest settlement was in respect of foreign exchange fixes only; but earlier in the week the FT ran a story that one of the banks, UBS, is to settle allegations of misconduct at its precious metals trading business at the same time. However, in the FCA's notice there was no mention of precious metals, so that is presumably to come. So is the result of the German bank regulator's (Bafin) investigation into Deutsche Bank's (NYSE:DB) precious-metals dealings.

Dealers in the major banks are now reluctant to talk to almost anyone in other firms in case innocent remarks are misconstrued. The result is that dealing collusion has become more or less impossible, so it is reasonable to assume that control over gold and silver prices by the big players acting in concert will be significantly reduced in future. This is important, because it appears to rule out some of the actions routinely used in the past – April 2013 springs to mind – when severe shortages of physical metal threatened to drive the price considerably higher.

In short, continuing regulatory investigations are likely to extend to announcements involving precious metals, and dealers are now so jumpy we can effectively rule out future collusion. We will probably look back on these developments and conclude that they have fundamentally altered the character and behaviour of the market. And our starting point, indicated by a near-record negative Gold Forward Offered Rate (GOFO) rate, is an acute shortage of physical stock.

Late news: Yesterday the World Gold Council announced that central banks bought 93 tonnes of gold in Q3, led by Russia with 55 tonnes. Late late news: Shanghai Gold Exchange deliveries last week were up 20% to 54.2 tonnes.

www.investing.com/analysis/is-gold-tu...

bodemvisser50 16 november 2014 12:55

B B Ik wens je ook alle geluk toe. Zowel goud als zilver kunnen in mum van tijd verdubbelen of meer. Kan ook nog zakken. De meeste specialisten zeggen GEDULD HEBBEN. Kan opwaarts gaan als het niemand verwacht dus volhouden.

[verwijderd] 16 november 2014 15:31

Keek op de week voor goud.
Avi Gilburt, ElliottWaveTrader.net via Seeking Alpha; Are You Preparing For $10,000 Gold?

Summary

Should we begin to look to the long side of the market?
What are the long term implications?
Upcoming week's expectations.

seekingalpha.com/article/2685885-are-...

Inderdaad, geduld en volhouden!

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