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OCI dec 2018 -dec 2019

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jessebrown
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The Mosaic Company Reports Second Quarter 2019 Results

Business Wire•August 6, 2019

PLYMOUTH, Minn.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--
ANNOUNCES BRAZILIAN DAM REMEDIATION AHEAD OF SCHEDULE AND TEMPORARY IDLING OF COLONSAY POTASH MINE
Unprecedented North American spring weather expected to drive strong nutrient demand in fall 2019 and beyond
The Mosaic Company (MOS) today announced that the unprecedented wet weather in the Midwest United States has negatively impacted its North American spring fertilizer sales volumes and phosphates margins. These same factors have driven grain prices higher and provide significant opportunities in fall 2019 and beyond.
“We’ve experienced a North American spring season that was wetter and later than any in recorded history,” said Mosaic President and CEO Joc O’Rourke. “While our Potash and Mosaic Fertilizantes businesses continued to perform well, weakness in the phosphates market negatively impacted second quarter results. Moving forward, strong price increases in grains together with depleted soil nutrients in North America are expected to drive fertilizer applications significantly higher this fall.
“The actions we’ve taken to reshape our business, including the permanent closure of our Plant City phosphates facility and the acceleration of the development of the K3 potash mine leading to today’s announced curtailment of potash production at Colonsay, are expected to increase our operating leverage to the anticipated strong market fundamentals in the second half of 2019 and beyond."
Mosaic reported a net loss of $233 million for the second quarter of 2019, including a $284 million noncash after-tax charge for the permanent closure of the company’s Plant City phosphate facility. The company reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of negative $0.60, which includes a negative $0.72 per share impact for notable items, primarily the closure of the Plant City facility. For the period, adjusted EBITDA(1) was $349 million, and adjusted EPS(1) was $0.12.
Highlights:
Mosaic Fertilizantes plans to complete tailings dam remediation activities and return to full operations more than a month ahead of schedule:
The Catalão mine tailings dam remediation was completed, and the mine resumed full operations in May.
The Tapira mine resumed operations at 60 percent in July, and is expected to resume full operations in August.
The Araxá mine received an operating permit for tailings dam B6, and is expected to resume full operations in August.
The company expects Mosaic Fertilizantes to achieve its targeted $275 million in net synergies in 2019, despite challenges related to the new Brazilian tailings dam regulation.
The Potash segment delivered gross margin per tonne of $84 as cash costs per tonne declined sequentially, despite a lower operating rate as a result of slower sales in the quarter.
The accelerated ramp up of the low-cost Esterhazy K3 potash project is on schedule, having produced over 400,000 tonnes of ore year-to-date June 30, 2019. This production, combined with available inventory, facilitated the temporary idling of the higher cost Colonsay potash mine. These actions are expected to lower Mosaic’s cost of production, accelerate inventory depletion, avoid $40 to $50 million in cash expenditures in 2019, and increase the company’s leverage to strengthening markets into 2020.
In June, the company announced the permanent closure of the Plant City phosphates facility. The closure will result in lower idle plant costs and cash expenditures to be incurred for the care of the facility.
The company revised its full-year adjusted EBITDA(1) guidance to $1.8 to $2.0 billion. Mosaic announced adjusted EPS(1) guidance of $1.10 to $1.50, primarily reflecting the impact of lower than expected sales volumes in the first half of 2019 and a slower recovery of phosphates margins.
Cash flow from operating activities in the second quarter of 2019 was $507 million. The company continues to expect cash flow generation to strengthen in the second half of the year, in line with expected adjusted EBITDA(1) guidance.
Capital expenditures totaled $295 million in the quarter. Mosaic’s total cash and cash equivalents, excluding restricted cash, were $402 million compared with $848 million at year end 2018, largely due to the weather’s impact on sales and resulting increase in the company’s inventories. Long-term debt was $4.6 billion as of June 30, 2019.
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quote:

kusadasi schreef op 6 augustus 2019 12:31:

The Mosaic Company Reports Second Quarter 2019 Results

Business Wire•August 6, 2019

PLYMOUTH, Minn.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--
ANNOUNCES BRAZILIAN DAM REMEDIATION AHEAD OF SCHEDULE AND TEMPORARY IDLING OF COLONSAY POTASH MINE
Unprecedented North American spring weather expected to drive strong nutrient demand in fall 2019 and beyond
The Mosaic Company (MOS) today announced that the unprecedented wet weather in the Midwest United States has negatively impacted its North American spring fertilizer sales volumes and phosphates margins. These same factors have driven grain prices higher and provide significant opportunities in fall 2019 and beyond.
“We’ve experienced a North American spring season that was wetter and later than any in recorded history,” said Mosaic President and CEO Joc O’Rourke. “While our Potash and Mosaic Fertilizantes businesses continued to perform well, weakness in the phosphates market negatively impacted second quarter results. Moving forward, strong price increases in grains together with depleted soil nutrients in North America are expected to drive fertilizer applications significantly higher this fall.
“The actions we’ve taken to reshape our business, including the permanent closure of our Plant City phosphates facility and the acceleration of the development of the K3 potash mine leading to today’s announced curtailment of potash production at Colonsay, are expected to increase our operating leverage to the anticipated strong market fundamentals in the second half of 2019 and beyond."
Mosaic reported a net loss of $233 million for the second quarter of 2019, including a $284 million noncash after-tax charge for the permanent closure of the company’s Plant City phosphate facility. The company reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of negative $0.60, which includes a negative $0.72 per share impact for notable items, primarily the closure of the Plant City facility. For the period, adjusted EBITDA(1) was $349 million, and adjusted EPS(1) was $0.12.
Highlights:
Mosaic Fertilizantes plans to complete tailings dam remediation activities and return to full operations more than a month ahead of schedule:
The Catalão mine tailings dam remediation was completed, and the mine resumed full operations in May.
The Tapira mine resumed operations at 60 percent in July, and is expected to resume full operations in August.
The Araxá mine received an operating permit for tailings dam B6, and is expected to resume full operations in August.
The company expects Mosaic Fertilizantes to achieve its targeted $275 million in net synergies in 2019, despite challenges related to the new Brazilian tailings dam regulation.
The Potash segment delivered gross margin per tonne of $84 as cash costs per tonne declined sequentially, despite a lower operating rate as a result of slower sales in the quarter.
The accelerated ramp up of the low-cost Esterhazy K3 potash project is on schedule, having produced over 400,000 tonnes of ore year-to-date June 30, 2019. This production, combined with available inventory, facilitated the temporary idling of the higher cost Colonsay potash mine. These actions are expected to lower Mosaic’s cost of production, accelerate inventory depletion, avoid $40 to $50 million in cash expenditures in 2019, and increase the company’s leverage to strengthening markets into 2020.
In June, the company announced the permanent closure of the Plant City phosphates facility. The closure will result in lower idle plant costs and cash expenditures to be incurred for the care of the facility.
The company revised its full-year adjusted EBITDA(1) guidance to $1.8 to $2.0 billion. Mosaic announced adjusted EPS(1) guidance of $1.10 to $1.50, primarily reflecting the impact of lower than expected sales volumes in the first half of 2019 and a slower recovery of phosphates margins.
Cash flow from operating activities in the second quarter of 2019 was $507 million. The company continues to expect cash flow generation to strengthen in the second half of the year, in line with expected adjusted EBITDA(1) guidance.
Capital expenditures totaled $295 million in the quarter. Mosaic’s total cash and cash equivalents, excluding restricted cash, were $402 million compared with $848 million at year end 2018, largely due to the weather’s impact on sales and resulting increase in the company’s inventories. Long-term debt was $4.6 billion as of June 30, 2019.
Buitengewoon prachtige vooruitzichten, jammer dat we hier langere tijd met heel wat verkeerde gasten zitten, want dan had de koers al rond de € 30,- genoteerd, maar komt meer dan goed rond en op de dag van de cijfers eind augustus/ begin september.
objectief
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quote:

Geldboertje0205 schreef op 6 augustus 2019 14:34:

[...]

Buitengewoon prachtige vooruitzichten, jammer dat we hier langere tijd met heel wat verkeerde gasten zitten, want dan had de koers al rond de € 30,- genoteerd, maar komt meer dan goed rond en op de dag van de cijfers eind augustus/ begin september.
Probeer een andere beleggingssite, dan heb je dat probleem niet.
De koers is een weergave van wat beleggers voor een aandeel over hebben.
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objectief schreef op 6 augustus 2019 14:55:

[...]

Probeer een andere beleggingssite, dan heb je dat probleem niet.
De koers is een weergave van wat beleggers voor een aandeel over hebben.
Lik op stuk in de maak.
DeZwarteRidder
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quote:

Geldboertje0205 schreef op 6 augustus 2019 14:34:

[...]Buitengewoon prachtige vooruitzichten, jammer dat we hier langere tijd met heel wat verkeerde gasten zitten, want dan had de koers al rond de € 30,- genoteerd, maar komt meer dan goed rond en op de dag van de cijfers eind augustus/ begin september.
Dicall geeft dus de schuld van de lage koers aan zijn minder positieve forumgenoten......!!!!

LOL
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Mogelijke deal nadert, OCI niet meer flink ondergewaardeerd, maar extreem fors, kwestie van geduld, iedereen die negatief is en was gaan zeker achter het net vissen.
FollowTheLeader
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quote:

Geldboertje0205 schreef op 6 augustus 2019 15:04:

Mogelijke deal nadert, OCI niet meer flink ondergewaardeerd, maar extreem fors, kwestie van geduld, iedereen die negatief is en was gaan zeker achter het net vissen.
Mogelijke ondergang is nu veel dichterbij. Zoals gewoonlijk kabouter Plop gezever.
FollowTheLeader
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quote:

Geldboertje0205 schreef op 6 augustus 2019 14:34:

[...]

Buitengewoon prachtige vooruitzichten, jammer dat we hier langere tijd met heel wat verkeerde gasten zitten, want dan had de koers al rond de € 30,- genoteerd, maar komt meer dan goed rond en op de dag van de cijfers eind augustus/ begin september.
Liever een verkeerde dan al 7 maanden achter het D. net vissen.
DeZwarteRidder
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quote:

Stamrecht schreef op 6 augustus 2019 15:23:

[...]Mogelijke ondergang is nu veel dichterbij. Zoals gewoonlijk kabouter Plop gezever.
Ik begrijp niet waarom je over een 'ondergang' zit te zeuren; dat slaat nergens op.
FollowTheLeader
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quote:

DeZwarteRidder schreef op 6 augustus 2019 15:28:

[...]
Ik begrijp niet waarom je over een 'ondergang' zit te zeuren; dat slaat nergens op.
Oke muggenzifter 'Vrije Val'.
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CF Industries loopt weer lekker op, degene die ruim onder € 20,- een positie in OCI hebben genomen zitten heel goed, wel heel erg jammer voor Stamrecht, DeZwarteRidder, Erny en objectief dat ze deze instap helemaal gemist hebben en al maanden er flink naast zitten, koers gaat weer richting de cijfers opveren richting de € 24,- en hoger.
FollowTheLeader
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quote:

Geldboertje0205 schreef op 6 augustus 2019 14:34:

[...]

Buitengewoon prachtige vooruitzichten, jammer dat we hier langere tijd met heel wat verkeerde gasten zitten, want dan had de koers al rond de € 30,- genoteerd, maar komt meer dan goed rond en op de dag van de cijfers eind augustus/ begin september.
Hoe heet dat technisch ook alweer : Steunlijn wordt weerstandslijn, kan terug naar €17,-
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Stamrecht schreef op 6 augustus 2019 15:46:

[...]

Hoe heet dat technisch ook alweer : Steunlijn wordt weerstandslijn, kan terug naar €17,-
Zeker na de deal van de methanoldivisie, LOL
FollowTheLeader
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quote:

Geldboertje0205 schreef op 6 augustus 2019 15:47:

CF Industries + 1,68% en Yara op een kleine plus van 0,48 %.
En wie is het kneusje weer : een keer raden D.
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OCI gaat alle records breken en de schuldenratio en cashflow gaat versneld verbeteren, dus geduld bewaren, want we hebben ook nog kans op een mogelijke aanmerkelijke deal.

CF Industries upgraded at BAML on strong Q2, improving 2020 outlook
Aug. 5, 2019 3:15 PM ET|About: CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)|By: Carl Surran, SA News Editor

CF Industries (NYSE:CF) is upgraded to Neutral from Underperform with a $56 price target, up from $38, at BofA Merrill Lynch, which says CF's strong Q2 results despite softness in global nitrogen prices show operational strength and an improving outlook.

While nitrogen prices may decline further in H2 2019, the company likely will perform better in 2020 than previously expected, BAML analyst Steve Byrne believes.

Current corn prices could result in a significant increase in global corn acres, which could offset an expected decline in the U.S. corn crop, Byrne also says.

The analyst raises his EPS estimate for CF's FY 2020 to $2.93 from $1.84, citing "better expectations for natural gas costs, higher [nitrogen] pricing, lower fixed costs, and a lower share count."

CF's average Sell Side Rating is Outperform, its Seeking Alpha Authors' Rating is Bullish, and its Quant Rating is Very Bullish.

Now read: WTI Midland crude back in positive territory - Reuters »
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quote:

Stamrecht schreef op 6 augustus 2019 15:50:

[...]

En wie is het kneusje weer : een keer raden D.
Denk jij, dat morgen een deal van de methanoltak gaat komen ???
FollowTheLeader
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quote:

Geldboertje0205 schreef op 6 augustus 2019 15:52:

OCI gaat alle records breken en de schuldenratio en cashflow gaat versneld verbeteren, dus geduld bewaren, want we hebben ook nog kans op een mogelijke aanmerkelijke deal.

Ongetwijfeld komen er goede cijfers, maar zitten nog te hoog in de koers verwerkt.
Dus terug naar € 17,- KW is dan ongeveer 9 op basis van EPS 1,90 en dat is voldoende.
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