Industry players upbeat on Iranian steel prospects
Throughout history, the path to industrial development has been paved by steel industry. It has built up invaluable infrastructures, spearheaded technological development and spurred economic growth. For Iran, the steel industry is set to play an even more important role. After years of crippling sanctions, the country wants to get its industries back on track and streamline economic growth. This is while low oil prices have failed to boost revenues and drive the economy. The most potential alternative is the development of the mining sector, especially the steel industry.
The Seventh Iranian Steel Market Conference, hosted by Donya-e-Eqtesad media group, opened in Tehran on Tuesday with exactly this aim in mind. It brought together a host of steel industry officials, local and foreign players and market analysts to follow up on last year’s post-sanctions excitement and clear the industry’s path to growth.
The industry is currently grappling with various challenges on both foreign and local fronts.
The Chinese steel armada is still strong and threatening global markets. While demand is growing slowly, the rise of protectionist trade policies is hurting the prospects of exporters.
In Iran, the government is doing its best to reach the 55-million-ton steel production capacity goal envisioned in its 20-Year Vision Plan (2005-25).
The goal’s achievability, however, is challenged by the downstream sectors' unbalanced supply of raw materials and the underdeveloped transportation infrastructure needed for boosting exports. Both require billions of investments, the procurement of which has proven to be the main bottleneck in post-sanctions Iran.
Iranian speakers at the conference included the head of Iranian Mines and Mining Industries Development and Renovation Organization, Mehdi Karbasian; Minister of Industries, Mining and Trade Mohammad Reza Nematzadeh; former parliament speaker, Ali Akbar Nateq-Nouri; the head of Islamic Republic of Iran Railways Company, Saeed Mohammadzadeh; and the head of Iran Mercantile Exchange, Hamed Soltani-Nejad
Managing director of Spain’s Sarralle group Javier Esquiroz; CEO of Italy’s Danieli Group Gianpietro Benedetti; the head of Germany’s SMS Group, Burkhard Dahmen; CEO of Austria’s INTECO, Harald Holzgruber; and Turkish Steel Exporters Association’s market analyst, Cihan Akedniz, were among the notable foreign participants.
Mr Karbasian who is also deputy minister of industries, mining and trade said that “The Iranian steel industry is now in its fifth decade. Ever since we started, the lack of balance [between raw material supply and steel production] was a concern for industrialists. The issue has now partly been resolved as a result of boosting mineral exploration and establishing a string of upstream plants.”
According to Nematzadeh, over the past four years, the industry’s pellet production capacity has grown 66% to 35 million tonnes, DRI capacity has risen 42% to 27 million tonnes and crude steel capacity is up 29% to 31 million tonnes.
However, completely resolving the issue of raw material scarcity and realizing the 2025 steel expansion goals require close to $30 billion of investment, the attraction of which has been one the main goals pursued by industry players in post-sanctions Iran.
Mr Karbasian appeared confident that despite the challenges, the outlook is bright for growth in the steel industry. He said that “Annual demand for steel in the Middle East and North Africa region is 71 million tons, while member countries only produce 36 million tons. Considering the potential of Iranian mines, the country’s gas reserves and its steelmaking capacity, we believe investing in Iran is going to be lucrative for [both local and foreign] investors.”
Mr Karbasian noted that low gas prices and abundance of DRI means Iran has a competitive edge compared to other producers who use coal, the price of which has more than doubled in the last two years.
Steel prices are also set to rise on the global scale. China has been forced to cut down its production capacity due to environmental issues. This is expected to reduce global supply and positively impact the markets and consequently Iranian exports.
Iranian steelmakers exported more than 4.4 million tons of crude steel and steel products during the 10 months to January 19, registering a 45% growth compared with last year’s corresponding period.
Source : Financial Tribune