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Tot hoever zakt de olie prijs?

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Ruias in talks with Aramco, NIOC for refinery stake sale

People with knowledge of the matter said that Essar Group, controlled by India's billionaire Ruia brothers, has held preliminary discussions with the national oil companies of Saudi Arabia and Iran about selling a stake in its refinery business.

According to the people, exploratory talks began last month between Saudi Arabian Oil Co and the Indian conglomerate about a stake in Essar Oil Ltd, which has a market value of about USD 5.5 billion.

Essar Group officials discussed a potential deal during a meeting with Aramco executives at the World Economic Forum in Davos, three of the people said, asking not to be identified as the information is private.

One of the people said that National Iranian Oil Co also met Essar Group recently about a possible purchase of a stake in Essar Oil, according to three people. The talks, which touched on the refinery deal as well as a potential increase in purchases of Iranian crude by the private Indian refiner, took place two to three weeks ago in Iran.

Essar Group is selling assets after earnings were hurt by a fall in commodity prices, weak demand and lower capacity usage at its businesses. Saudi Aramco, the world's biggest oil producer, is moving beyond producing and exporting crude and expanding into the processing and sale of oil products, which can fetch higher prices on world markets.

The people added that Shashi and Ravi Ruia, who founded Essar Group, plan to pay off some of the conglomerate's loans with the proceeds from selling the refinery unit stake, the people said. Essar Group had been seeking about $3 billion from a sale of a 49 per cent stake in the unit to Rosneft OAO.

Rosneft signed a non-binding agreement in July to buy 49 per cent of Essar Oil, conditional on due diligence and negotiations on price. Essar Group entered talks with Aramco in order to have an alternative buyer in case the discussions with Rosneft fall through, according to two of the people.

Aramco declined to comment in an e-mailed statement, while NIOC's deputy director of international affairs, Mohsen Ghamsari, didn't respond to three phone calls seeking comment. Essar Group said by e-mail it has signed a non-binding term sheet with Rosneft for exclusive negotiations about the potential purchase of a 49 per cent stake in Essar Oil. It declined to comment further.

The Russian company's press office said that "Rosneft has not changed its plans and continues work in accordance with the signed agreement on terms for the company's possible entry into shareholding structure of Essar Oil. Talks on this project continue on the working group level in accordance with the existing agreement on exclusivity."

According to the people, discussions with the Middle Eastern oil producers are at an early stage, and there's no certainty they will proceed further in the negotiations. Essar Group is still in talks with Rosneft, and the Russian company is likely to complete due diligence in the next month.

Source : Bloomberg
Bijlage:
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OPEC seeks to prevent further crude price decline - Analyst

Ms Nadana Fridrikhson, political analyst, journalist and expert of the ‘Cube’ analytical center, said that OPEC’s meeting with other oil producers will unlikely to lead to any positive results.

Ms Fridrikhson said that Russia has repeatedly stated that it is technologically difficult for it to reduce the oil production volumes.

She said that “Saudi Arabia is not ready to ease up either. Moreover, Venezuelan oil minister Eulogio Del Pino is trying to negotiate with oil producing countries. Eulogio Del Pino’s tour to Russia, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, etc. has been planned.”

She added that “However, even in case of success, oil prices will not reach $100 per barrel or more as in pre-crisis period following all these attempts. The era of petrodollars will not occur again.”

Ms Fridrikhson said that there is a more urgent question, namely, how to prevent a larger decline in oil prices. The recent initiatives have been rather dictated by this circumstance.

She said that it will be hard for the countries which have not reformed their economy and which are dependent on oil revenues. The growing economic crisis, social protests will become an integral part of the oil crisis.

The expert said that the cause is not only in excess of supply, but a crisis of demand. The global crisis, the sanctions greatly affected the Russian economy. As a result, the purchasing power of people reduced.

The expert said that the economy of the post-Soviet countries began collapsing following Russia.

Source : AzerNews
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Oman targets daily crude output close to 1m barrels – Mr Al-Rumhy

Mr Mohammed bin Hamad Al Rumhy, Minister of Oil and Gas, said that Oman’s oil production this year is targeted at around 990,000 barrels per day (bpd), adding it would be difficult to halve the economy’s dependence on oil in five years.

The target for this year is 980,000 to 990,00 bpd or slightly more than that, the minister told reporters on the sidelines of a ceremony held at the Crowne Plaza on Monday.

The event was held to honour195 Omani job-seekers, who graduated to the highest international standard to work as welders at the Rabab Harweel integrated oil and gas mega project of Petroleum Development Oman (PDO).

Oil’s role in the economy
Mr Al Rumhy also commented on the target mentioned in the 2016 to 2020 plan to reduce the oil industry’s contribution to Oman’s gross domestic product (GDP)to 22 per cent from 44 per cent. The plan was announced recently in a statement issued by the Supreme Council for Planning.

Asked if the target is achievable, Al Rumhy said, “With difficulty.”

He said that “We are producing more oil, we are looking for more oil, and we are contributing more. So the challenge is for others to catch up with us and maybe defeat us. Because now we are quite ahead in this race of who is paying more to the nation, and we are paying a lot, and we want others to get close to us and maybe go in front of us. But so far, I do not see anyone behind us.”

He added that “We are doing fine. We are progressing.”

PDO production
In addition, PDO Managing Director, Mr Raoul Restucci said the company plans to exceed last year’s production level and is targeting more than 600,000 bpd this year.

According to him, the company produced a total of 1.29 million bpd in oil and gas in 2015.

Asked about the average cost of extraction at PDO, Restucci said, “Primary is less than $5; secondary is up to $12; tertiary is $20. It depends.”

500 wells
The official also noted that the company plans to drill more than 500 wells this year, adding, “Last year, we drilled more than 500.”

Commenting on PDO’s challenges and strategies in 2016, the managing director said the company’s objective is to ‘stay the course,’ continue with its programmes, make continuous business improvements, reduce waste and duplication and become more efficient.
Seeb Aquarium
With regards to the aquarium that PDO had planned to build at the Seeb harbour, Restucci said discussions are being held with a number of authorities about how to manage that at the moment.

He said that “We have got the front end designs, but we are reviewing the optimum timing, obviously given the cost challenges that we face. There is also major development in the Sultan Qaboos Port. We are looking (into) how we integrate that.”

Source : Times Of Oman
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US natural gas may drop to a more than 20-year low - Report

It is reported that futures prices for natural gas could drop to levels not seen in more than two decades as resilient production levels, hefty U.S. inventories and weaker demand combine to pull prices down to USD 1.50 or lower.

The winter season, which usually boosts demand for natural gas to meet heating needs, hasn’t offered much support for natural gas despite the cold blast from the recent blizzard on the East Coast.

Prices for the fuel NGH16, -5.48% fell about 1.7% in January and on Monday traded around $2.14 per million British thermal units, set to end the session with a loss of close to 7%. They’ve already tallied a drop of more than 44% over the past two years.

Ms Mr Beth Sewell, managing partner at Quantum Power & Gas Services, said she expects to see sub-$2 natural-gas prices in February, and they may even drop to $1.50 depending on the weather as the market enters the “spring shoulder period.” That is when winter heating demand for natural gas drops off and demand for the fuel has yet to climb for the summer cooling-demand season.

According to FactSet data tracking the most-active contracts, natural-gas futures prices haven’t settled at $1.50 or lower since August 1995.

Ms Sewell said that “This winter overall has been warmer than normal, which puts a damper on heat loads. These short-term cold spells don’t do much to help absorb the surplus. We need extended cold to do that.”

Source : MarketWatch
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Jobless benefit claims keep rising in Alaska oil and gas sector

According to y the state labor department, the number of people receiving jobless benefits in Alaska continued to fall in December, except for in the oil and gas sector, where claims doubled from the year before.

Mr Lennon Weller, a state Department of Labor economist, said that in December, 1,020 Alaskans who had been working in the oil and gas industry collected $1.1 million in unemployment benefits. That compares to 518 in December 2014.

Year-on-year increases began occurring in May 2015 after plunging oil prices forced companies to trim projects and thin workforces, creating ripple effects that have also hurt contractors and oil field service firms.

Mr Weller said that “We could be seeing more claims coming into the system.”

With its high-paying jobs, the oil industry is being closely watched in a state that has suffered tough times in past periods of low oil prices. Employment in the sector remains historically high, though the numbers are falling. A preliminary estimate shows the industry employed 13,500 workers in December, a level not seen since May 2012.

ASRC Energy Services Response Operations informed the state in mid-November it would cut about 30 positions as it wound down its operations in the U.S. Arctic Ocean. The announcement was triggered by a federal law requiring companies to give notice of large layoff decisions.

The cuts stemmed from Shell’s announcement in September that the oil giant would end its exploration effort in the remote region, affecting 400 jobs in Anchorage alone.

ASRC Energy Services Response Operations, a subsidiary of Arctic Slope Regional Corp., the Barrow-based Native corporation, said the “substantial reductions” in its workforce meant the company could not move the affected employees, including vessel operators and field supervisors, to other positions within the company.

Source : ADN
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Oil prices driving innovation in Colo. oil, gas sector

New technologies, including horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing, led to a boom in oil and natural gas production across the United States — to the point where a glut of supply has led to low prices.

Oil has hovered around USD 30 per barrel during the early weeks of 2016, less than the cost of the actual barrel.

But oil and gas companies aren't pulling back on innovation, if anything, they’re doubling down, according to senior energy company executives who spoke at the Vail Global Energy Forum held this weekend at the Beaver Creek Resort.

Source : American City Business Journals
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Chinese goes farther afield for bargain oil

The Globe and Mail reported that last month’s plunge in crude to USD 30 a barrel proved too tempting for China to turn down even as its economy lurches toward the weakest growth in a generation.

Physical shipping market collated data show that Chinese companies booked tankers to load 1.38 million barrels of crude daily from West Africa in February, the most since at least 2011. It also increased its purchases from producers in the North Sea and Russia. The voyages are all thousands of kilometres farther than the Middle East, which supplies most to the Asian country.

Mr Olivier Jakob, managing director of Petromatrix GmbH, said by phone that “This surge in Chinese demand for crude goes against recent macroeconomic news coming out of the country but is very much in line with their past behaviour in low flat-price environments. Whenever there has been a strong retracement in prices, China has loaded up their reserves.”

Oil has plunged this year amid signs that China’s economy is slowing. The country’s growth will slow to 6.5 per cent this year, the weakest since 1990, according to forecasts and government data compiled by Bloomberg. Monday’s PMI data showed a drop to a three-year low, with the official factory gauge signalling contraction for a record sixth month. Brent crude traded as low as USD 27.10 a barrel last month, the lowest since 2003. It has since recovered to trade at about USD 34 a barrel.

However, there are several reasons why the flow may not be as bullish for the oil market as it might first appear.

First, the cargoes were boosted by a trade deal in December between the Angolan government and Sinochem Group, which will load eight cargoes this month, the most since Bloomberg began compiling data. China will add storage capacity of 145 million barrels this year, according to the International Energy Agency, meaning imports don’t necessarily equate to demand.

Source : The Globe and Mail
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Wyoming sees oil and gas jobs drop by 5,400 in 2015

Associated Press reported that in what may be the first large-scale energy bust to hit the state in some 30 years, Wyoming’s economy contracted in 2015, losing 6,500 jobs, mostly in the reeling oil and gas industry.

However, the current downturn in Wyoming’s energy industry so far has not reached the severity of the bust that hit the state in the mid-1980s.

Economist Mr David Bullard said that “Clearly we’re seeing negatives at this point but not to the same degree as that we saw in the ’80s.”

The mineral extraction industry is the main driver behind Wyoming’s economy, accounting for much of the state’s tax revenue. But low oil prices, more power plants switching to burning natural gas instead of Wyoming coal and new federal restrictions have depressed the state’s energy industry.

Severance taxes that the state collects on energy production have fallen from nearly $960 million in Fiscal Year 2014 to an estimated $625 million in the current fiscal year, a decline of about 35 percent.

As a result, Wyoming Gov. Matt Mead and lawmakers are looking at cutting the state budget. The Legislature convenes its budget session Feb. 8 in Cheyenne.

Mr Bullard said the industry woes are starting to show up in Wyoming’s labor statistics.

Source : Associated Press

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Oil, gas companies cut hundreds more jobs in Texas - Report

As the oil and gas industry continues to cope with a challenging market, hundreds more layoffs were reported to the Texas Workforce Commission.

Tenaris SA, Maersk Drilling, National Oilwell Varco and Quicksilver Resources Inc. have announced a total of 539 layoffs in Texas.

According to notices to the Texas Workforce Commission, the following cuts have been reported:

1. Tenaris, global manufacturer and supplier of steel pipe products, will cease operations at its Houston facility (8204 Fairbanks N. Houston Road) on March 31, 2016 resulting in 166 job cuts

2. Maersk Drilling, a drilling rig operator, is laying off 80 employees who work aboard the Maersk Developer, a rig located in the Gulf of Mexico and reports directly to the Houston office (2500 CityWest Boulevard). The company began notifying employees January 25.

3. National Oilwell Varco, oilfield equipment supplier, is permanently closing its Houston manufacturing facility (16211 Air Center Boulevard), resulting in the layoffs of 129 union and non-union employees. All affected employees will be laid off in phases that began Jan. 22; the next phase will be between May 31 and June 15, 2016.

4. Quicksilver Resources Inc., a natural gas and oil exploration and production company based in Fort Worth, is closing its business and shutting down operations at the following facilities: 801 Cherry Street in Fort Worth; 3001 Eagle Parkway in Fort Worth; and 310 Bo Gibbs Blvd. in Glen Rose, Texas. This will result in layoffs of 105, 11, and 48, respectively. Quicksilver Resources filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy relief March 17, 2015, will sell all of its assets and is currently restructuring its businesses. Layoffs are expected to begin April 1 and employees will be offered a severance package.

Source : Rig Zone
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Kosten besnoeien om goedkoop te kunnen produceren begint me nu echt te etteren. Doe ik mijn 6 maanden vooruit spiegelen en gebruik mijn eigen geouwehoer op dit draadje willen me klanten in dollars betalen!

Ik sta me helemaal stuk te drinken hier in het midden oosten en ik kan het niet in hun koppen krijgen dat we beter de kosten in roebels of yuan kunnen zetten. En maar proberen dat ik een verlies van 50% devaluatie van de dollar mag absorberen. OK: kosten omlaag waarde van olie omhoog dan kan ik m'n prijs verhogen met mijn strontverhalen over mijn technieken, maar ik stuiter op oude garde principes. Maar fok dat het is een kwestie van ben je een bedelaar of een kiezer.

Mijn conclusie: de westerse centrale banken hebben hebben over de laatste 20 jaar hun bevolking bedelaars gemaakt of te wel lullen zuigers. Ik niet want ik heb nooit mogen kiezen.

Kortom gouden tijden voor vluchtelingen/ emigranten.

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IOC plans to build strong upstream portfolio - Executive

Economic Times reported that Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) is hoping to build a strong upstream portfolio as the oil rout turns assets cheaper while leaving traditional upstream companies such as Oil and Natural Gas Corporation with depleting cash reserves.

The company is evaluating 10-12 acquisition opportunities every month and has entered into confidentiality agreements on 4-5 probable deals, said a senior company executive, requesting anonymity, in a growing sign of the seriousness with which IOC is pursuing its upstream ambition.

The executive said that IOC and Oil India have signed a non-binding agreement with Russian oil firm Rosneft for taking 10% stake each in the Taas-Yuryakh field in east Siberia. IOC is also seeking a stake in the Vankor field in Russia, where ONGC purchased a 15% stake last year.

The executive said that "This is the time when we must build assets."

The company plans to raise its annual output to 6 million metric tonne (MMT) in five years from 0.5 MMT now, he said. The target is equal to a third of the current annual domestic output of ONGC, the nation's largest oil producer.

Source : Economic Times
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Goldman Sachs says it's too late for OPEC to save oil

Goldman Sachs thinks crude oil's late January surge back above $34 a barrel was a mere head fake. The elite Wall Street firm believes oil prices are poised to plunge to new lows below USD 26 a barrel -- despite talk of OPEC coming to the rescue by cutting production.

Goldman analysts said that "It may already be too late for OPEC producers to be able to prevent another large decline in prices."

Goldman pointed to the fact that it would take too long to enact such production cuts and oil stockpiles around the world are swelling.

The skepticism from Goldman and other oil watchers helped drive crude 6% lower on Monday to around $31.75 a barrel.

According to AAA, another dive in oil prices would be good news for American drivers, who continue to watch prices at the pump tumble lower. The average price of a gallon of gasoline dropped to $1.79 on Monday, down from $2.06 a year ago.

But if oil prices fall further, it is likely to freak out Wall Street -- and could further dent Americans' investment portfolios. Investors have been obsessed with oil lately, with stock prices moving almost perfectly in lockstep with crude last month.

Even though cheap oil is supposed to be an overall positive for the U.S., investors have focused on the downsides, including shrinking energy profits, oil bankruptcies and trouble in emerging markets like Brazil.

Oil prices -- and the stock market -- have risen sharply since January 20. Last week oil rose to as high as $34.82 a barrel, up an incredible 33% from the recent low of $26.19.

Those gains were driven in part by hopes that OPEC members would hold an emergency meeting and agree to a coordinated production cut. Russia added fuel to that fire last week, when its energy minister reportedly saying OPEC and non-OPEC producers are considering a 5% output cut.

A Gulf source told CNN last week that regional players are "willing to do anything to stabilize the market" and "all options are open."

The comments suggested a possible shift from Saudi Arabia, the powerful OPEC producer that has long resisted cutting production out of a desire to avoid losing further market share to the U.S. and other high-cost producers.

Source : Money CNN
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American Patriot Oil and Gas in trading halt, material transaction flagged

American Patriot Oil and Gas' (ASX:AOW) shares have been placed in a trading halt after the company flagged a material transaction was on the way.

In late 2015 the company received a letter of intent to sell its entire oil and gas assets for US$20 million cash to a private US oil company, Edward Mike Davis, LLC.

At this valuation, the company said the offer was opportunistic in the current oil price environment and "substantially undervalues the potential value of its assets" and it was continuing discussions with potential bidders to extract a higher offer price.

American Patriot Oil and Gas' shares have performed remarkably well above the sector performance with a tight share register and strategy of looking for quality, low cost, early entry acreage plays in proven oil fields with no drilling commitments.

Source : Proactive Investors
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For fuck sake: Goldman Sachs heeft nog genoeg ammunitie om hun valse dollar wat in olie is belegd, de olie te verkopen om echte dollars te krijgen. Voda dat bovengenoemde was een belangrijke verslag. Wat is hun reden?

Waarom de commerciële dollar verlagen met over aanbod van financiële dollar? De resultaat weten we wel:en dat is nog meer echt geld of te wel commerciële dollar uit de handel te halen. Wat gaan een paar mensen met gigantische hoeveelheid geld doen? Beleggen in een gefaalde Amerikaanse economie zie ik niet zitten. De Russen staan te vrijen met de Israel. Ook werd er gezegd dat dit is de eeuw van de Slaven (Rusland).
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quote:

Choke schreef op 4 februari 2016 19:53:

For fuck sake: Goldman Sachs heeft nog genoeg ammunitie om hun valse dollar wat in olie is belegd, de olie te verkopen om echte dollars te krijgen. Voda dat bovengenoemde was een belangrijke verslag. Wat is hun reden?

Waarom de commerciële dollar verlagen met over aanbod van financiële dollar? De resultaat weten we wel:en dat is nog meer echt geld of te wel commerciële dollar uit de handel te halen. Wat gaan een paar mensen met gigantische hoeveelheid geld doen? Beleggen in een gefaalde Amerikaanse economie zie ik niet zitten. De Russen staan te vrijen met de Israel. Ook werd er gezegd dat dit is de eeuw van de Slaven (Rusland).
Tja, Choke, over dat GS kan men boeken schrijven!!! Echt, een Illuminatie gedreven bedrijf, en dat zegt al genoeg!!
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Waar gaat dit nog over???

Olieprijs sluit lager

AMSTERDAM (Dow Jones)--De olieprijs is donderdag na een volatiele sessie met verlies gesloten. Zorgen om het overaanbod kregen in de loop van de dag weer de overhand en stuurden de markt in de min.

De maartfuture voor een vat ruwe olie sloot donderdag op de New York Mercantile Exchange 1,7% lager op $31,72.

Eerder op de dag noteerde de olieprijs nog flink in de plus dankzij de dalende dollar en speculatie over afspraken tussen olieproducerende landen om minder olie op te pompen. Woensdag schoot de olieprijs om die redenen al 8% omhoog.

Analisten waarschuwen echter dat geen enkele prijsstijging houdbaar is zolang het overaanbod aanhoudt en Saoedi-Arabie - de grootste olieproducent van de Opec - niet bereid is de productie te verkleinen. De verwachting is dan ook dat de olieprijzen in ieder geval de eerste helft van 2016 laag blijven doordat het aanbod de vraag blijft overtreffen.

Morgan Stanley verlaagde donderdag zijn ramingen voor de olieprijs. De bank verwacht dat een vat Brent dit kwartaal gemiddeld $31 kost en zal dalen tot $29 in het vierde kwartaal.

"We verwachten dat de lage olieprijzen langer aanhouden dan we eerder aannamen", licht de bank toe. "We blijven erbij dat de vraag moet toenemen om de markt weer in balans te brengen, aangezien de productie waarschijnlijk niet materieel zal dalen. De uitdaging is dat de groei van de vraag vertraagt."

Ook waren de ogen donderdag gericht op de olieminister van Venezuela, Eulogio del Pino. Hij zei dat hij een 'productieve' ontmoeting had met de olieminister van Qatar, de huidige voorzitter van de Opec. Woensdag zei Del Pino dat zes landen, waaronder ook Opec-leden, bereid zijn een spoedvergadering te houden om te praten over maatregelen om de olieprijs te stimuleren.

De Opec koos er de afgelopen twee jaar voor om de productie niet te verlagen, ondanks de duikvlucht van de olieprijs. Saoedi-Arabie voerde de productie in 2015 zelfs op om marktaandeel te winnen.

Analisten zijn van mening dat zonder deelname van Saoedi-Arabie een productieverlaging onwaarschijnlijk is. "De partijen kruipen richting een gecoordineerde productieverlaging, maar deze is nog altijd ver weg", stelde broker PVM.


Dow Jones Nieuwsdienst; +31-20-5715200; amsterdam@dowjones.com


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Overaanbod van meer dan 20 jaar digitale geld (fin-dollar) op een agressieve manier uit de markt halen is een beleid functie, geen vraag een aanbod van de klant en dat ben ik toevallig. Ik weet niet van Jullie, rijden jullie al meer kilometers met de zelfde budget in jullie benzine tank?

Neem ik de Zuid Afrikaanse rand wat 1 van mij referentie munten is, omdat ik daar woon, fabriceert, handel, oorlog deed, verplicht ben om in 1 kut god te geloven, racist moet zijn om uiteindelijk meer geld te roven van gewone mensen in de straat om een paar enkelingen met zelfvernietiging drang te verrijken; plus minus gelijk als de euro of dollar, dan de effect van het beleid heeft geen invloed op de intrinsieke waarde van de rand.

Gaat de waarde van de media-dollar omhoog dan de rand gaat omlaag, gaat de waarde van de media-dollar omlaag dan gaat de rand omlaag. De rand voor mij in man-uren was altijd 10 keer te sterk zins ze de Nederlandse cultuur daar vernietigd hebben. Dus een markt gedreven herwaardering. Maar dan; ten opzichte van wie?

1 van de andere collega draadjes schrijver gebruik de woord; we zitten op een bodem fase. Ik denk ook zo. In mijn woorden positionering van markt krachten. Gaat leuk worden als Turkije een paar bommen op hun flikker krijgen, gaat Nederland terug schieten om een groter escalatie op eigen bodem te krijgen? Putin en ik komt uit de zelfde generatie met dezelfde achtergrond van verloren 'isme' hij communisme en ik apartheid.

Militair zit de dollar-euro te ver in iemands anders gebeid te hannesen en intensiteit gezien niet onderhoudbaar. Napoleon-Hitler typisch voorbeeld.

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Obama wilt 10 dollar op een vaatje geïmporteerd olie zetten. Dus hij wilt mij straffen en verplichte om zijn olie te kopen. Dat is leuk maar ik heb geen dollars.

www.rt.com/business/331379-obama-oil-...

Ik denk het is beter dat Obama aan die strontverhalen blijft dat jij en me Oma gestraft moet worden voor het uit ademen van CO2

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Olieprijs sluit lager

AMSTERDAM (Dow Jones)--De olieprijs is vrijdag lager gesloten, vanwege een sterkere dollar in reactie op het Amerikaans banenrapport en het uitblijven van een significante daling in de wereldwijde productie.

De handelsdag stond vrijdag volledig in het teken van het Amerikaans banenrapport over januari. Uit de data bleek dat de werkgelegenheid in de VS in januari minder dan verwacht is gestegen. Het aantal banen steeg met 151.000, waar gerekend werd op een stijging met 185.000 banen. De werkloosheid daalde tot 4,9%, waar vooraf werd gerekend op een ongewijzigd percentage.

De data gaven de dollar een impuls, waardoor olie voor buitenlandse kopers duurder werd.

Uit data van Baker Hughes bleek vrijdag dat het aantal actieve Amerikaanse olie-boorinstallaties voor de zevende week op rij is gedaald met 31 tot 467 actieve installaties. Het totaal aantal operationele installaties, inclusief aardgas boorinstallaties, daalde met 48 tot 571. Ten opzichte van vorige jaar daalde het aantal actieve olie- en gas-boorinstallaties met 885.

De markt voor ruwe olie is recent zeer volatiel vanwege de voortdurende onzekerheid over de vraag of grote producent bijeen zullen komen om maatregelen te bespreken in een poging de neerwaartse trend van de olieprijs te doen keren.

"De volatiliteit was deze week hoog, waarbij Brent tussen $32,00 en $36,00 schommelde", aldus Michael Poulsen van Global Risk Management. "Verwacht dat de volatiliteit aanhoudt", waarschuwt hij.

Donderdag verlaagde Saoedi Arabie de prijzen voor de hoogste kwaliteit ruwe olie die is bestemd voor klanten in Europa en Azie. De stap helpt 's werelds grootste exporteur van ruwe olie zijn meest lucratieve markt te beschermen tegen rivaliserende producenten, zoals Iran.

De stap verlaagt tevens de verwachting dat het land bereid is deel te nemen aan een collectieve verlaging van de productie, om de neerwaartse trend van de olieprijs tot stilstand te brengen.

De maartfuture voor een vat ruwe olie sloot vrijdag op de New York Mercantile Exchange $0,83 lager op $30,89.


- Door Patrick Buis; Dow Jones Nieuwsdienst; +31 20 571 52 00; patrick.buis@wsj.com


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Laten we beetje toekomst voorspellingen doen.

Media data is nu een beetje rustig over de olie. We mogen aannemen dat media onze draadjes volgt en ook besloten heeft dat de bodem is bereikt. Persoonlijk blijf ik altijd op m'n hoeden voor die 22 banken van Amerika hufters. Hoeveel ammunitie zij nog hebben om hun gemakkelijke olie op de markt te brengen dat weet ik weer niet. Dat Saudi daar nu op inspeelt klopt anders zat ik nu niet hier (Saudi Arabia).

Normaal als men een auto band fabriceert heeft men ongeveer 700 euro nodig aan energie om 35 euro rubber energie waarde te maken. Let wel ik praat van energie welk je niet kan vernietigen nog creëren maar wel omzetten. Geld heeft dezelfde karakter.

Nou die 35 euro is gebaseerd als men de moleculen van de rubber omzet in diesel. Omgekeerd die 700 minus 35 = 665 is belasting, sociale dienst, subsidies.

Neem je Amerika nu weer met een handelstekort, dan is men verzekerd dat Amerika nooit kan fabriceren nog aan export kan doen met mijn bovengenoemde keiharde getallen. Dus men is ook verzekerd dat de dollar door export onderhoudt niet bestaat. Dus een factor van 20 dat de dollar zal devalueren. Dat europa en japan de dollar uit ruilt met hun valse geld verlengt de tijdsduur van devaluatie. De gevolgen is verlies van 'het ondernemen' dus ook de belasting innen basis. Laatstgenoemde verminderd weer de tijdsduur.

Neem de Afrika en hier in het Midden Oosten dan de belasting basissen zijn pleiten. We kunnen kijken naar de devaluatie van enige munt die aan de dollar-euro-yen gekoppeld zijn. Hoe om de woede in te schatte zodat de dollar wordt meegetrokken mag men Goldman Sachs bestuderen. En dat is makkelijk, want het is wat ze niet zeggen wat de feiten zijn.

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